The 49ers have leaned hard on rookie production this season, and five weeks in, that bet is looking pretty healthy. There are going to be bumps.
That comes with first-year players. But this class already has a couple of clear hits, a few promising developmental pieces, and at least one player whose long-term ceiling stands out.
De’Zhaun Stribling still isn’t ready to help right away. The timeline is likely another month and a half at the earliest, which is a disappointment after the way he flashed in the preseason.
Even so, there’s still a path for him to matter down the stretch. The final month of the season could be his runway back into the offense, with the hope that he’s ready to become a steady piece by the playoffs.
Romello Height has been used exactly like the kind of player the 49ers drafted: a pass-rush specialist. He has rushed on 62% of his snaps, with 88% of those coming off the edge rather than inside.
The raw numbers haven’t fully caught up yet - he has just three solo tackles and a 7.2% pressure rate - but the deployment tells the story. He’s functioning as a designated looper, and that role has been heavy on movement.
Per Sumer Sports, 52% of his rushes have been stunts, and Raheem Morris has had him on the move on more than half of his pass-rush snaps. The encouraging part is that he’s winning at a 13.3% clip.
That kind of underlying success usually shows up in the box score eventually.
Kaelon Black, though, has not taken the step the 49ers probably hoped for early on. He looked like he might become a focal point in Week 1, but his playing time has slipped all year, and he’s now on the field only about 11% of the time.
The production has been thin: a 2.6% explosive play rate, minus-0.10 EPA per touch, and just one impact play. He was supposed to bring value as a pass protector, but he’s barely been used there at all, logging only 1.3% of his snaps in that role.
Shanahan also isn’t giving much away when Black enters the game. The usage is balanced enough to keep defenses guessing, with Black running the ball 47% of the time and releasing into a pass route 41% of the time.
The issue is what’s happening after the handoff. He’s averaging 2.6 yards per carry in the red zone and 3.9 outside it.
He does show some fight after contact and can fall forward, but he’s also getting stuffed in the backfield and isn’t forcing missed tackles. Too often, he bounces runs that don’t need to be bounced or stalls his feet before choosing a lane.
In one-on-one situations, he’s not attacking the moment; he’s hesitating.
Gracen Halton has been one of the quieter bright spots in this group, even if the stat sheet doesn’t always shout it. He got his first sack of the year, but the bigger picture is even stronger.
Among NFL defensive tackles, he ranks 26th in impact plays with 13. That’s one fewer than Osa Odighizuwa, despite Halton playing 91 fewer snaps.
He also has as many tackles for loss as DeForest Buckner and Zach Allen. What stands out most is how much he sees the game.
His awareness is excellent, and he has already proven to be a better run defender than expected. He creates disruption that doesn’t always get credited in the traditional numbers.
Based on these first five games, there’s no real argument he should have lasted until Day 3.
Jaden Dugger has quietly put together one of the cleaner rookie stretches so far. He has missed just one tackle all season, and he picked up his first sack last week.
The pass-rush sample is small - only ten rushes - but the results are real: three pressures and that sack on the first drive of Week 5. He’s also handled life against bigger bodies better than you’d expect, staying composed while going up against 300-pounders.
In coverage, four of his seven targets have turned into first downs, but he’s allowing only 6.4 yards per catch on those plays. Week 5 suggested some of that is by design, with the defense essentially conceding the short stuff to protect against something bigger.
Dugger plays with physicality, keeps control, and doesn’t pile up self-inflicted mistakes. The long-term upside is there, especially with Fred Warner at the position.
Carver WillisEphesians Prysock
Incomplete.
In Other News...
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For a team that has already had to navigate the on-field fallout from the incident, the developments bring the matter back into the spotlight in a more concrete way. The suspects were arrested between Oct. 7 and Oct. 9, underscoring how long the case has taken to unwind after White was injured in the shooting earlier this year. [Read more 🡒]
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Pieiro already has five missed kicks on the season, matching his total from all of last year, and that kind of wobble tends to draw attention fast in a place that expects to contend. The Niners are winning enough to keep the issue from becoming a crisis, but the inconsistency is real enough to linger, especially with so much of the margin in close games often coming down to one swing of the leg. [Read more 🡒]