The 49ers’ recent meetings with Seattle haven’t been pretty, but this Week 5 matchup looks a lot different on paper.
Start with the receivers. In the two games the Seahawks controlled, San Francisco was leaning on Jauan Jennings and Ricky Pearsall as its starting wideouts.
Pearsall was dealing with a PCL injury that left him “practically useless” - though he still played - and Jennings was erased both times. Across those two games, he totaled six catches for 58 yards and no touchdowns.
That lack of speed gave Seattle’s defensive backs room to crowd the line of scrimmage, choke off the short passing game and squeeze the run game. It also helps explain why the 49ers didn’t score a touchdown in either matchup and only reached the red zone once.
This time, the picture is very different. The 49ers are rolling out Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel as their starting receivers. Samuel looks fully revived, running harder than ever while still bringing the burst that makes him dangerous, and he has three touchdowns in four games.
Evans is the bigger change. He’s a massive upgrade over Jennings, and the reason is simple: he forces defenses to treat him like a problem from the opening snap.
As a future Hall of Famer, he commands attention because of his size, catch radius, vertical threat and red-zone skill. Even with the rib injury limiting him this week, he still changes coverages before the ball is snapped.
Just having him out there gives San Francisco a schematic edge.
Seattle’s offense has also changed - and not for the better. Last season, the Seahawks had Kenneth Walker, one of the league’s best backs, and Klint Kubiak, one of the top play callers in football. This year, Walker is gone to the Chiefs, and his replacements, Zach Charbonnet and Jadarian Price, are both hurt and won’t play Sunday.
That leaves Seattle stuck being one-dimensional. Brian Fleury is now calling plays, and he had never done it before this season.
He’s also having a hard time turning anyone besides reigning Offensive Player of the Year Jaxon Smith-Njigba into a reliable threat. That’s a big reason the Seahawks offense has been so poor on third down.
Sam Darnold can function as a good quarterback when he has a strong run game behind him, but that’s not the setup here. Instead, he’s carrying the offense, and when pressure gets home, turnovers can follow.
That’s why the 49ers are the pick to win Sunday. They have the better quarterback, the better play caller and the more balanced offense. Seattle’s defense is strong, but San Francisco’s defense is solid enough to hold up in this kind of game.
It should be ugly, physical and low-scoring, with field goals likely deciding it.
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Julian Love also looms as the kind of playmaker who can turn a routine snap into a problem if the coverage gets sloppy, which only raises the degree of difficulty for Brock Purdy and company. Seattle does not need every answer to be flashy here, just enough pressure points to stress a 49ers defense that will have to be sharp in multiple spots at once, and the most intriguing part is how those layers show up once the game actually starts to force decisions. [Read more 🡒]