Padres Trade Buzz Around Joe Ryan Just Got More Complicated

As the Padres grapple with pitching woes, a potential trade for the Twins' Joe Ryan poses a significant gamble due to his recent arm fatigue.

Joe Ryan still looks like the kind of starter the Padres would love to land. The Twins right-hander has the résumé, the production and the team control that usually make A.J.

Preller’s phone light up during trade season. He’s sitting on a 3.38 ERA with 131 strikeouts over 114 1/3 innings, making just $6.1 million this year and under club control through 2027.

But the latest update around Ryan should make San Diego pause.

Minnesota scratched him from his scheduled Sunday start against the Athletics because of what manager Derek Shelton called general arm fatigue. The move came after Ryan was tagged for a career-high six home runs and eight earned runs in four innings against the Guardians.

The Twins are still hopeful he can take the mound again during their upcoming series against Kansas City. Ryan threw a bullpen session Saturday, said the fatigue was easing and noted there was no present reason to worry about a major injury. That’s a good sign, but it doesn’t erase the concern for a Padres team that can’t afford to gamble on a pricey trade.

San Diego’s rotation is already hanging together by a thread. In AJ Cassavell’s latest look at the staff, Michael King and Walker Buehler are the only two starters working every fifth day. The rest of the group has turned into a mix of bulk innings, piggyback plans and matchup-based juggling.

The results show it. The Padres’ rotation has a 4.68 ERA, which ranks better than only the Rockies among NL teams. Nick Pivetta, Joe Musgrove and Lucas Giolito are all on the IL, and Pivetta and Musgrove are not expected back before the middle of August.

That’s why the bar for a deadline addition should be reliability, not just upside. Ryan still has the All-Star track record, the manageable salary and the extra year of control that make him attractive. But the Twins don’t have any reason to sell low, and the Padres would still be paying for a healthy front-line starter while taking on the uncertainty that just popped up with his arm.

That’s a hard deal to justify.

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