Padres Offseason May Hinge On Bringing Back Their Rotation Stabilizer

The Padres' future rotation hangs in the balance as they contemplate the crucial decision of re-signing standout free agent Michael King.

The San Diego Padres have a clear priority this offseason, and it starts with Michael King.

After a year in which the rotation offered almost nothing beyond King, the right-hander stands out as the one free agent the club can’t afford to lose. He was the lone steady presence in a bleak group, turning in a 3.21 ERA over a career-high 185 innings, along with a career-best 4.3 bWAR and 32 starts.

He was just as sharp when the games mattered most. In the postseason, King gave up only one earned run in 14 innings across two starts and one relief outing, striking out 15 while walking five.

That kind of production won’t come cheap. King recently declined the final two years and $58 million on his contract, which was no surprise given the market he’s expected to draw. Some projections have him landing a deal worth $140 million at age 31.

If he stays in San Diego, the Padres would again be leaning on him as the ace of the staff. But the bigger point is that his return would help prevent a repeat of last season’s rotation mess, one that would have looked even worse without him.

There were some reasons for the Padres’ pitching issues beyond King. Joe Musgrove didn’t return until the postseason and then only in a bullpen role, Nick Pivetta missed nearly five months, and Walker Buehler opened the year on a minor league deal before posting a 5.36 ERA before the All-Star break. Buehler did settle in later, finishing his final 13 regular-season starts with a 3.62 ERA.

Still, the overall picture was ugly enough to spill over into the bullpen. The relievers were forced to cover the fourth-most innings in MLB, and that workload showed up in October when their weaknesses were exposed.

Bringing King back would give the Padres a chance to stabilize the top of the staff before they start filling in the rest. If he’s gone, the club could end up patching together the rotation with average arms again - and face the same bullpen problems next October.

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