The Spurs may be built for another big regular season, but the Rockets have the kind of profile that can make life messy in the West.
Houston didn’t look like a finished product last year, even after winning 52 games. The offense never really settled in, despite having a healthy Kevin Durant alongside Alperen Sengun and Amen Thompson. Then the postseason ended quickly, with a first-round loss to a Luka-less Lakers team while the Rockets were without Durant.
That’s the version of Houston from a year ago. The one heading into next season looks different.
The biggest reason is balance. The Rockets now have the pieces to bother teams on both ends, and that matters against a Spurs group that can already throw a lot at opponents offensively. San Antonio’s guard trio of Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, and De'Aaron Fox is a major problem, but Houston has the personnel to make that matchup uncomfortable.
Amen Thompson is already one of the league’s most disruptive defenders, the kind of player who can switch across positions and change a possession in a flash. The Rockets also added Marcus Smart, another defender who can get into the ball, bother guards, and create turnovers. On the perimeter, that’s a nasty combination.
Fred VanVleet adds another layer once he’s back healthy after missing all of last season with a torn ACL. Between Thompson, Smart, and VanVleet, Houston’s backcourt defense has the look of something that can really test the Spurs in future meetings.
The frontcourt still brings plenty of resistance too. Houston kept most of its bigs from last season, and that group did a strong job around the rim and on the glass. The Rockets finished 11th in opponents’ points in the paint and seventh in defensive rebounding percentage, two numbers that point to a team that can make opponents work for every clean look.
The offensive side should be the part that changes the most.
VanVleet’s return matters there as well, because he can run the offense, create his own shot, and stretch the floor. Houston also brought in Bogdan Bogdanovic, a career 38% shooter from distance, which gives the group another real weapon from outside.
And then there’s the internal growth. Amen Thompson and Alperen Sengun are both positioned for a jump, with Thompson standing out as the player who could take the biggest step after showing flashes as a do-it-all threat last season.
Houston still may not match San Antonio’s scoring punch, but that’s not really the point. The Rockets look more complete now, less like a team leaning entirely on defense and more like one that can win in different ways.
If they stay healthy, they’ll be a tough out in the Western Conference. And if they end up across from the Spurs in the playoffs, Houston has enough two-way firepower to make that road to the 2027 NBA Finals a lot harder.
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