Rutgers Faces A Bigger Coaching Question Than Fans May Want

With the firing of Mike Locksley, Maryland and Rutgers football programs face an uncertain future, each grappling with the challenge of attracting talent amidst financial constraints, historical mediocrity, and a competitive coaching market.

Mike Locksley is out at Maryland, and if Greg Schiano follows him, the Big Ten’s two most awkwardly similar jobs could wind up chasing the same coaching candidates.

That’s the backdrop to a recent The Athletic piece that tried to answer a simple question with a messy answer: how good is the Maryland job? The comparison naturally pulls Rutgers into the conversation, because the two programs occupy a very similar space.

Big Ten membership helps. But neither job comes with a clean, easy sell.

Maryland has had flashes, sure. The Terps were a top ACC program 25 years ago and won the league in 2001 after three straight top-20 AP poll finishes.

But the post-Ralph Friedgen years changed the conversation. Friedgen was fired after a 9-4 season in 2010, and Maryland still hasn’t won nine games or finished with a winning conference record since.

Locksley’s tenure brought a familiar pattern: strong starts in September, then things going sideways once the calendar turned. His teams were 7-19 in October. Rebuilding trust with the fan base is part of the job now.

Sound familiar? It should.

Rutgers has lived its own version of that story, first before Schiano’s return and then again since. Schiano built real success there nearly 15 years ago, with bowl trips and a team that spent time flirting with the rankings.

But since coming back in 2020, he hasn’t won more than seven games in a season.

The on-field questions are different in style, but similar in substance.

Locksley recruited well. That was never really the issue. The criticism centered on what Maryland got out of all that talent once it arrived.

Schiano has long pitched Rutgers as a developmental program - land the right kind of kid, usually a 3-star, and coach him up. But this year even Schiano acknowledged he didn’t do a good job evaluating talent.

KJ Duff, Antwan Raymond and, now, Clay Thevinin are among the top performers. Still, the bigger question hangs over the roster: is there enough depth, and what happens in the portal if the coach goes?

Money enters the picture, too, and Maryland gets a slight edge there.

The Athletic estimated Maryland had about $1-3 million more than Rutgers for its roster. That matters, even if it doesn’t solve everything.

Rutgers can point to Iowa, which is estimated to have some $2 million less than RU and still seems to be doing fine under Kirk Ferentz. And Maryland, like Rutgers, does not generate a lot of revenue.

That leaves both schools operating in a pretty uncertain lane.

Institutional stability is where the gap opens a little wider.

Maryland gets a B on that front. Rutgers gets an A.

Jim Smith is in his second year as athletic director at Maryland. The Terps also lost Kevin Willard to Villanova after Willard spoke out about UM’s finances. Smith is there because his predecessor left to become AD at SMU - a move that, yes, amounted to leaving a Big Ten school for what could be considered an outlier ACC school.

Rutgers, by contrast, has what the source of this whole exercise calls alignment. There has been some churn between Hobbs and the lengthy presidential/AD search, but the program appears steadier now than Maryland.

Then there’s the coach pool, and this is where the two jobs start to blur again.

Vannini’s list included more than a dozen names, from sitting head coaches to coordinators. There are Power 4 candidates like Duke’s Manny Diaz and Wake Forest’s Jake Dickert.

There are Group of 5 names like Charles Huff at Memphis, UNLV’s Dan Mullen, and Western Michigan head coach Lance Taylor. Jason Eck at New Mexico is also in the mix as a rising name.

The idea is that some coaches might rather make their leap now than wait a year for a bigger Power 4 opening. And unless the money or NIL picture changes dramatically, Rutgers and Maryland would likely be shopping from the same shelf.

In the end, both jobs are still Big Ten jobs, and that alone gives them pull. The DMV is a strong recruiting area.

So is New Jersey. But local recruiting is not the absolute requirement it once was.

Both programs have some upside, but the ceiling is not especially high, and fans need something to believe in if they’re going to keep believing at all.

Maybe the most important part of this whole discussion is not Maryland versus Rutgers. It’s what else opens up before the cycle really gets rolling.

Since Locksley’s firing, NC State fired Dave Doeren and Dave Aranda is out at Baylor. The hot seat is also real for Shane Beamer at South Carolina, Bill O’Brien at BC, Barry Odom at Purdue, and Lincoln Riley at USC.

Two Big Ten jobs are on that list, and maybe only one of them would clearly be better than Maryland or Rutgers. That matters because the market is still small, even if there are a few openings that could become more attractive.

Could Keli Zinn put together a package that lands the right candidate at Rutgers?

Maybe. Maybe not.

And as things stand right now, there is one more unavoidable fact: there is no opening in Piscataway.

In Other News...

Rutgers Gets Michigan At The Perfect Time For A QB Debate

Michigan arrives on Rutgers schedule with one of the more awkward quarterback situations in the Big Ten, which is hardly ideal for a Scarlet Knights defense that would rather know what it is getting before kickoff. Freshman Tommy Carr made his first career start recently and took over for Bryce Underwood as Michigan picked up a win over Penn State, but the Wolverines offense still has not found a steady rhythm. For Rutgers, that uncertainty only adds another layer to a matchup that already feels like it could turn on which team settles its passing game first.

Rutgers has its own questions under center, though, and that makes this week feel less like a clean scouting assignment than a guessing game. Dylan Lonergan left the Northwestern game with a head injury, and Greg Schiano has not offered a clear answer on whether he will be available. With both sides waiting on quarterback clarity, this one could hinge on which staff can adapt fastest once the real game plan starts to unfold. [Read more 🡒]

Michigan Still Favored But Wolverines Have Something To Prove At Rutgers

Michigan arrives in Piscataway still carrying the look of a team trying to steady itself after a rough stretch. The Wolverines have dropped three of their last four, and the latest stumble was an overtime loss to Indiana, yet they remain favored for Week 9 as they head into Rutgers with a chance to reassert some control over their season.

Tommy Carr is expected to make his second straight start at quarterback, which adds another layer of interest to a team that needs cleaner play on offense. Rutgers, meanwhile, has shown enough to make this more than a formality, with two wins already on the rsum, including a victory over Maryland, so Michigan will have to prove it can handle a conference road test rather than simply rely on the spread. [Read more 🡒]