Robert Williams III's journey with the Portland Trail Blazers has been a rollercoaster since he joined the team as part of the Damian Lillard trade. Initially, many expected him to be a temporary piece, poised to be traded for more assets as Portland embraced a youth movement. Yet, Williams’ undeniable talent and potential for greatness have kept him in the conversation.
Despite being injury-prone and undersized, Williams carved out a reputation as one of the league's top centers during his time with the Boston Celtics. His athleticism and defensive instincts are second to none, making him a crucial component in any championship pursuit when healthy.
Over five seasons with the Celtics, he averaged 7.3 points, 6.9 rebounds, 1.4 assists, and 1.7 blocks in just over 20 minutes per game. His standout 2021-22 season saw him earn All-Defensive Second Team honors and play a pivotal role in Boston's run to the NBA Finals.
When Williams was traded to Portland alongside Malcolm Brogdon and two first-round picks, the move was seen as a strategic win for General Manager Joe Cronin. The expectation was that Williams would eventually be traded again, especially with the acquisition of Deandre Ayton.
However, injuries derailed those plans. As Williams approaches the end of his contract this summer, his improved health raises questions about his future.
His Contribution
Williams' impact this season cannot be measured by stats alone. Despite appearing in just 39 of 57 games, his athleticism and defensive prowess have been on full display. The Blazers have wisely managed his minutes, avoiding back-to-back games to preserve his health.
His numbers-6.3 points, 6.3 rebounds, 1.1 assists, and 1.4 blocks in 16.2 minutes-might not leap off the page, but they don't capture his full value. Williams excels in using angles, timing, and sheer determination to challenge opponents, regardless of their size.
Offensively, he's a force around the rim, thriving on lob and putback opportunities. This season, he's even added a reliable three-point shot, hitting 43.8 percent on limited attempts. Among big men, his efficiency is notable, ranking high in points per shot attempt and effective field goal percentage.
Defensively, Williams is a standout, ranking fifth in block rate and ninth in defensive rebound rate. His presence on the court is a game-changer.
With rookie Yang Hansen not yet ready to step up, Williams’ role becomes even more crucial. If he leaves, Portland will need to find a replacement, but finding someone with his savvy and reliability won't be easy.
Free Agency
Williams' injury history might temper his market value, but his resurgence this season has improved his prospects. Teams may be willing to offer a portion of the $15.1 million non-taxpayer Mid-Level Exception, though Portland's Bird Rights might not hold much sway.
His decision to stay in Portland could hinge on the Blazers' playoff potential. With Damian Lillard back and possible offseason moves, there's hope for improvement. If Williams is comfortable with the team's direction and life in the Pacific Northwest, a return for around $8-$9 million annually is plausible.
Conclusion
As Williams approaches unrestricted free agency, both he and the Blazers face critical decisions. For Portland, the gamble lies in his health. If he can stay on the court, his value as a backup big is unmatched, especially with Hansen still developing.
For Williams, it’s about finding a team on the cusp of playoff contention where his skills can shine. While he might find a new home with a contender this summer, a return to Portland remains a possibility if both sides are willing to take a chance on each other.