The Portland Trail Blazers finally have a player worth building around in Deni Avdija, but their first offseason after his breakout has only made his future murkier.
That’s the concern raised by CBS Sports’ Sam Quinn, who floated Avdija as a possible 2028 free-agent target for the Dallas Mavericks while discussing Dallas’ long-term plans with Yossi Gozlan on the Third Apron Podcast. Quinn framed a reunion with Luka Doncic as wishcasting, then pointed to Avdija as the more realistic name Dallas should be tracking.
"I think there's a very good chance that Deni Avdija is available in free agency in 2028, and Dallas is the team that should be positioning itself to get him," he said.
Quinn also described the Blazers as a "sinking ship," arguing that they are not protecting the cap room they would need to renegotiate and extend Avdija.
The contract itself is a huge part of the problem. Avdija is set to make just $13.1 million this season and $11.9 million in 2027-28, which looks like a bargain on the surface. But because the deal is front-loaded and team-friendly, it creates a complication when Portland tries to keep him long term.
Under the NBA’s veteran extension rules, the Blazers can go only up to 140% of Avdija’s final-year salary. They could also use the average salary from his current contract, which is more sensible for a front-loaded deal. Even then, though, Avdija’s $13.75 million average annual value would rise only to $19.25 million after that 140% bump.
That’s why the extension math gets messy fast. Portland would eventually need to renegotiate his current contract and then extend him off that new number using the same 140% rule. It’s the kind of financial squeeze that helped make Jerami Grant and Jrue Holiday trade candidates before the offseason began, since moving one of the Blazers’ top earners would have opened room for Avdija’s next deal.
Instead, Portland moved in the opposite direction.
The Blazers did trade Grant, but they replaced him with Ja Morant, a more expensive swing that only deepened the pressure on their books. And that came at Avdija’s expense, even though he has become Portland’s first All-Star since Damian Lillard.
That’s what makes the offseason feel so odd. The Blazers finally landed the kind of star they’ve been hunting through the rebuild, then acted like he wasn’t the priority once they got him.
The fit questions don’t help, either. Morant’s game overlaps with Avdija’s in all the wrong ways: both attack downhill, Morant doesn’t space the floor well, and his ball-dominant style can cut into what makes Avdija valuable as a point forward.
Portland missed on two key goals this summer: clearing space to renegotiate and extend Avdija, and surrounding him with better complementary pieces, especially shooting. If that doesn’t change, Quinn’s warning starts to look a lot less hypothetical and a lot more like a roadmap for Dallas in 2028.
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The staff picture also includes a couple of notable shifts behind the scenes as the Blazers continue lining up the next phase of the organization. Nate Bjorkgren is transitioning into a special assistant role, while James Brocato has come aboard to handle basketball innovation, adding another layer to the front-office and bench-side structure Nori is assembling as Portland maps out what this era will look like. [Read more 🡒]
