Pirates Prospect Seth Hernandez Is Chasing A Paul Skenes-Type Rise

As Seth Hernandez breaks records in the minors, the young pitcher sets his sights on making Pittsburgh Pirates' history by entering the major leagues before his 21st birthday.

The Pirates have spent the last few seasons building a rotation pipeline that keeps spitting out premium arms, and Seth Hernandez is the latest name to jump into the conversation. Paul Skenes, Jared Jones, Bubba Chandler and Braxton Ashcraft have already given Pittsburgh plenty to brag about, but Hernandez is arriving with his own kind of buzz.

The No. 6 overall pick in the 2025 draft has been carving up A-ball, and the numbers have put him in rare company. He became the first minor-league pitcher to reach 100 strikeouts this year, and plenty of outlets already have him ranked among baseball’s top 10 prospects. That kind of rise tends to come with big dreams, and Hernandez has one that goes beyond simply following Skenes to Pittsburgh.

In a Pirates newsletter, Aiden Stepansky spoke with Hernandez one-on-one, and the young right-hander laid out the target he has in mind:

“A goal that I always think about is making the big leagues while I'm still 20 years old. So if I could make it before June 28 of next year, that would be pretty awesome.”

That’s an ambitious bar, especially when the standard in Pittsburgh right now is Paul Skenes. The first overall pick in the 2023 draft moved through the minors at a blistering pace, debuting on May 11, 2024, less than a year after being drafted and after just 34 minor-league innings.

Hernandez is trying to top that timeline, though his path is different. He came out of Corona HS, which means he entered pro ball with less polish and fewer reps than Skenes, who had already dominated the SEC at LSU.

Even so, Hernandez has already given the Pirates plenty to like. Across 16 starts between Low-A and High-A, he’s posted a 2.61 ERA and a 3.64 FIP in 69 innings.

The eye-popping number is the strikeout rate: 40.8%, a massive sign that he’s handling hitters with ease. If he keeps rolling and shines at the All-Star Futures Game, a move to Double-A Altoona before the season ends would make sense.

The calendar matters here, too. If Hernandez wants to debut in Pittsburgh before his 21st birthday on June 28, 2027, he’ll need to begin next season in Triple-A. That would keep him on track for a summer call-up if injuries or poor performance open a door, assuming there’s a season at all next year.

The Pirates don’t have any real reason to hurry him along, not with so much pitching depth already in place. But the idea of replacing an aging Mitch Keller with another electric young arm is enough to make the whole thing feel almost unfair. If Hernandez gets there, Pittsburgh could have five of the best young pitchers in baseball at once, and all of them would be 27 or younger next season.

That’s the kind of rotation dream the Pirates are building toward, and Hernandez has already made it a little bigger.

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