Pirates Have A Frustrating Problem Stats Alone Can't Explain

Despite a high WAR ranking placing them among MLB's best, the Pittsburgh Pirates' playoff absence underscores a struggle to convert talent into victory.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have spent the closing stretch of the season reminding everybody what might have been. Now there’s another number that makes their empty October even harder to swallow.

According to TJStats, entering Wednesday the Pirates ranked seventh in Major League Baseball in total team WAR. Ahead of them were the Los Angeles Dodgers, Milwaukee Brewers, Chicago Cubs, Boston Red Sox, New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays. Right behind Pittsburgh sat the San Diego Padres and Cleveland Guardians.

That grouping tells the whole story.

The Dodgers and Brewers had already won their divisions. The Rays had clinched the AL East.

The Yankees and Red Sox had locked up playoff spots. The Cubs and Padres were in National League Wild Card positions entering Wednesday, while Cleveland led the AL Central.

And then there were the Pirates, stuck in the middle of all of it and already eliminated.

Good afternoon.

Every one of these teams (minus the #Pirates) holds a playoff spot as we sit here today. Pittsburgh was eliminated from postseason contention last week. pic.twitter.com/Qi3CM453gE

  • ForTheCity_412 (@JimStamm22) September 22, 2026

That’s what makes this season sting. It would be one thing if Pittsburgh had simply fallen short because the roster wasn’t good enough.

That has been the familiar script in too many years before. But this time, the talent was there in a way that’s tough to ignore.

WAR isn’t a perfect measure, and baseball doesn’t run on a spreadsheet. It doesn’t fully capture when injuries hit, how well a team uses its pieces or what happens when a bullpen blows up at the worst possible moment. But that’s also why the Pirates’ place in this ranking feels so brutal.

They were not miles away. They were not a roster full of placeholders. By one broad measure of team value, they were right there with a cluster of clubs that have already punched tickets to October.

The problem was turning that value into wins.

Pittsburgh gave away too many winnable games in the first half because the bullpen couldn’t hold leads. The offense went through stretches where the parts never quite clicked together.

Injuries knocked Oneil Cruz, Konnor Griffin, Ryan O’Hearn and others out at damaging times. Marcell Ozuna’s disastrous season soaked up too many plate appearances for too long.

Even the rotation, which was supposed to be the backbone, didn’t always look as dominant as expected.

Still, the value added up. Just not fast enough, and not in the right moments.

That’s the uncomfortable truth for the Pirates front office as it evaluates 2026. The strong finish can’t erase the larger failure, because the larger failure is sitting right there in the standings.

This team may be close. In fact, it probably is.

But being close and missing the postseason is what makes the season so frustrating.

The Pirates don’t need to celebrate this ranking. They need to look at the teams around them and ask why almost all of them turned that kind of value into October baseball.

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