Pirates Face A Clear 2027 Divide Among Key Arbitration Decisions

The Pirates must navigate a critical offseason as they weigh contract offers to 10 arbitration-eligible players that could shape the team's trajectory beyond 2027.

The Pirates are heading into the offseason with a full slate of arbitration calls, and those decisions will shape how much flexibility they have elsewhere. Pittsburgh has 10 arbitration-eligible players for 2027, including two in their second year, center fielder Onel Cruz and right-handed reliever Yohan Ramirez, plus eight first-year eligible players.

Most of those names look like easy keeps. But they do not all carry the same weight.

At the top of the list are the three players the Pirates have to tender: Paul Skenes, Jared Jones and Cruz. That’s the group that sits in a different class from everyone else, and for good reason.

Skenes is coming off a season that fell short of his own standards, with a 3.82 ERA after back-to-back sub-2.00 ERA campaigns, but he was still one of the best pitchers in the game. He was one of 11 pitchers to reach 200 strikeouts, and he finished among the top 20 in both WHIP at 1.12 and batting average against at .227. His projected salary of $7.2 million is right near the $7.25 million Dallas Kuechel set as a first-year arbitration record, which tracks after Skenes’ Rookie of the Year and Cy Young seasons in 2024 and 2025.

Jones should come in well below that, with a projection a little above $2 million after missing all of 2025 because of internal brace surgery. Pittsburgh got him back in late May, and even with some rough patches, he still took National League Pitcher of the Month honors for September. That’s the kind of finish that reminds you what he can be by 2027.

Cruz’s season was interrupted too, as a fractured left hand cost him 61 games from mid-June to mid-August. Even so, he still joined the 20-30 club with 20 homers and 30 steals, came back strong, and cleaned up his issues against left-handed pitching. The projection for him is $6.3 million, about $3 million more than last season, but he still looks like one of the Pirates’ most important players if they want to push toward the postseason when healthy.

There’s another tier of players who may not be the best on the roster, but have carved out real value. Carmen Mlodzinski is one of them.

He spent the last two years in the Pirates’ rotation, struggled in 2025, then had more success in 2026 before Jones returned from injury and took over. Mlodzinski was much better in the bullpen, where he has thrived, and that’s the role he appears set for moving forward - if he fully accepts it.

Ramirez belongs in that same group after his best major league season. He went 7-4 in 66 appearances, logged a 2.86 ERA over 85 innings, struck out 102 and walked 44, and finished with a .188 opponent average and a 1.19 WHIP. He handled multiple roles and became a key bullpen piece in 2026.

Nick Gonzales also fits here after posting his best offensive season, batting .303/.367/.388 with a .755 OPS and finishing sixth in baseball in batting average. The catch is that he was the worst defensive third baseman in MLB, and the Pirates still do not know what his long-term defensive home is.

Spencer Horwitz started 2026 on fire, hitting .280/.386/.455 with 10 home runs, 40 walks and 40 strikeouts for an .841 OPS through the first three months. Then a hamstring injury and a concussion on a rehab assignment knocked him off course.

After missing 32 games and returning in early August, he hit .180/.263/.201 the rest of the way, one of the worst stretches by any hitter in that span. He should be back at first base, but the Pirates need the early-version Horwitz, not the late-season one.

Then there’s the group that has shown enough to stick around for now, but still has work to do.

Henry Davis gave the Pirates another strong defensive season behind the plate, ranking sixth among catchers with at least 700 innings played with +8 defensive runs saved and 11.4 Def. The bat, though, was a problem again. He hit .172/.272/.313 with a .585 OPS, and that has to improve if the Pirates are going to keep banking on him.

Endy Rodríguez had the opposite kind of year. He hit .267/.373/.467 for an .840 OPS, the best season of his career, but health remains the issue.

He missed 15 games in July with a left glute strain, then saw his season end early after surgery on his left hip labrum. He will not resume baseball activities until March-May 2027, and he has played only 63 games combined over the last three seasons.

Jared Triolo rounds out the list. He does all the defensive heavy lifting the Pirates could ask for, handling all four infield spots and doing it well enough to keep him in the conversation with the more secure names.

His bat dipped to .238/.307/.302 with a .609 OPS, though he did show some power in 2026. He is not going to be a top hitter, but a .700 OPS is not out of reach for someone with his versatility.

The Pirates are expected to tender most, if not all, of these players. The harder part is figuring out who merely stays, who keeps climbing, and who still has to prove he belongs in the long-term picture after 2027.

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