Jared Triolo Is Giving The Pirates Hope They Desperately Need

Jared Triolo's recent surge offers a glimmer of optimism for the Pittsburgh Pirates amid historical patterns that suggest fleeting success.

The Pirates are deep into an ugly August, and while the losses keep piling up, a few players are at least giving the club something to cling to. Rafael Flores Jr. has kept swinging the loudest, Jake Magnum has held down center field with a .760 OPS since Aug. 1, and Bubba Chandler and Mason Montgomery have helped steady the pitching staff.

Jared Triolo belongs in that group too, at least for now. The 2024 Gold Glover has been one of the better bright spots on a roster that badly needs them, posting a 100 wRC+ this month with matching strikeout and walk rates. For a player whose season hasn’t exactly been smooth, that counts for something.

But the warning signs are already flashing.

Triolo came out of the gate hot in August, putting up a 168 wRC+ across his first 22 plate appearances. Then the Boston Red Sox cooled him off in a hurry over the weekend, limiting him to a 1-for-12 line in the series. Even his lone homer this month came with a little help from Miami Marlins center fielder Jakob Marsee, which makes the surface numbers look a bit better than the underlying production.

Boston also attacked him in the way that tends to expose him when he’s going cold: by getting him to beat the ball into the ground. Half of Triolo’s contact against the Red Sox came on ground balls. During his Aug. 1-13 surge, that rate was much more favorable, with only 40% of his batted-ball events ending up as grounders and 60% turning into line drives or fly balls.

That matters because Triolo doesn’t need to hit like a middle-of-the-order bat to be useful, but he does need to give the Pirates something at the plate. His defense and versatility buy him a lot of leeway. They don’t buy him endless playing time if the offense disappears.

And the history here is hard to ignore. Triolo’s career month-by-month splits show a familiar pattern: he usually lags through the spring and summer, then catches fire in August before settling back down in September. His career OPS by month never climbs above .638 from March through July, then jumps to .810 in August before dipping to .762 in September.

So yes, this version of Triolo still matters. Even the September version would be valuable. The problem is that the Pirates may already be seeing the best stretch he’s going to give them at the plate this season.

If the bat slips much farther from here, the conversation around him gets a lot less comfortable.

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