The Pirates want Brandon Lowe back in 2027, but the market is already making that plan harder to manage.
MLB.com’s Mark Feinsand placed Lowe in Tier 2 of the 2026-27 free-agent class, a spot that puts the veteran second baseman among the offseason’s more appealing names. The reason is simple: Lowe brings a power profile that’s tough to find at his position. After hitting 35 home runs with 96 RBI for Pittsburgh in 2026, he has now reached 30 homers three times in his career, including each of the last two seasons.
For the Pirates, that only confirms what they already know. Lowe is a difficult player to replace. The bigger issue for general manager Ben Cherington is that the clock is working against him in more ways than one.
Pittsburgh extended Lowe a one-year, $23.15 million qualifying offer on November 2, and he has until November 17 to accept or decline. That move made sense, especially because the Pirates would receive draft-pick compensation if he signs elsewhere. But accepting it would likely mean turning down the chance at a bigger multiyear deal, so the expectation is that Lowe will test the market.
That creates a problem for the Pirates right now, not later. Lowe can talk to other teams before his decision deadline, and Pittsburgh can’t afford to sit around waiting for a resolution before mapping out its next move. The GM Meetings are happening this week, and that matters because the offseason may not stay open for long.
MLB’s current collective bargaining agreement expires December 1, and a lockout could start December 2, which would freeze major league transactions until a new deal is reached. That makes the coming stretch especially important for Cherington, who already has a long list of needs to address.
Second base is one issue, but it’s not the only one. The Pirates also need help at third base, catcher and in the bullpen, plus another right-handed bat for a lineup that struggled badly against left-handed pitching in 2026.
None of those problems disappear while Pittsburgh waits on Lowe. If the Pirates spend too much time trying to hold the line on a reunion that never happens, they could lose out on other options across the market.
That doesn’t mean the Pirates should stop trying to keep him. Lowe played a major role in their first winning season since 2018, and there’s no question they should make a real effort to bring him back. But they also need a backup plan that’s ready to go.
Gleyber Torres is one possible alternative at second base. A trade could also give the Pirates more flexibility.
Another route would be using the money they might have spent on Lowe to patch several holes instead of just one. Those are the kinds of conversations that need to happen now.
Cherington has talked about staying flexible all offseason, but flexibility only matters if there are multiple paths forward. Keeping every option open forever isn’t a strategy.
The trade for Lowe last December was one of Cherington’s best moves. Lowe changed the look of the lineup and showed what a real middle-of-the-order power bat can do.
Losing him after one season would hurt. Letting that uncertainty stall the rest of the offseason would be worse.
Feinsand’s ranking is just the latest sign that Lowe has earned serious attention. Now the Pirates have to prove they can keep moving even if he walks.
The danger isn’t just losing Lowe. It’s building the offseason around him so completely that the rest of the roster gets left behind.
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