Penguins Fans Can See It With Chinakhov Now Comes The Hard Part

Despite a slow start, Egor Chinakhov's persistent efforts and underlying stats hint at an imminent uptick in his goal-scoring performance.

Egor Chinakhov didn’t light up the scoresheet in the Pittsburgh Penguins’ 3-2 shootout win over the San Jose Sharks on Wednesday night, but he was one of the players driving the game anyway.

While goalie Sergei Murashov grabbed the spotlight with a strong performance, Chinakhov kept showing up in all the ways that matter before the puck goes in. He was creating chances, forcing turnovers, winning races to loose pucks and making an impact almost every shift. For the Penguins, he was their best non-goalie even if the box score barely hinted at it.

That’s been the story lately, too. Chinakhov’s season line - three goals and two assists in 15 games - doesn’t really match the way he’s been playing or the expectations that came with how he finished the 2025-26 season. But the underlying numbers keep pointing in the same direction: this looks like a player who is close to breaking through.

The speed is obvious. So is the shot. And the chances are coming in bunches.

Among Penguins skaters with at least 100 minutes of 5-on-5 ice time, only Nicholas Robertson and Rickard Rakell are averaging more shots on goal per 60 minutes. Nobody on the team is generating more total shot attempts than Chinakhov’s 19.1 per 60, and nobody is really close - Rakell is the only other Penguin above 16.

The rush game has been even more striking. Chinakhov leads the Penguins in chances off the rush at 1.27 per 60 minutes, with Rakell second at 0.46 and Ben Kindel third at 0.32. Across the league, his 5-on-5 shot attempts per 60 rank 13th, and his rush attempts sit first overall.

That’s the profile you want from a player with his tools. The speed is creating looks.

The shot is getting used. The problem is that the finishing touch hasn’t arrived yet.

Some of that comes down to bad breaks. He had one goal wiped out earlier this season on a borderline goalie interference call, and he’s already rung at least three or four posts. One of them on Wednesday apparently echoed all the way through the San Jose area.

The numbers back up the sense that the goals have been slow to come for reasons that may not last. Chinakhov has scored on just 4.35 percent of his shots on goal at 5-on-5.

Before this season, his career rate was 12.7 percent. In his worst full seasons in Columbus, he never finished below 7.8 percent, and only once did he dip under 8 percent.

If he were finishing at his normal career rate on the same number of shots, he’d have two more goals already. That would put him on a 28-goal pace over a full season instead of the 17-goal pace he’s on now.

And that’s only at 5-on-5. There’s also a case for more power-play time, where he already has two goals on just three shots on goal.

The bigger point is simple: production doesn’t always arrive on schedule in the NHL. Effort can be steady.

Defense can be steady. Shot generation can be steady.

Goal-scoring? Not so much.

That’s especially true for players outside the very top tier. A scorer doesn’t usually pile up goals in a neat, even rhythm.

It comes in bursts - a couple in one game, then a dry spell, then another burst. The cold stretches only feel louder when they happen early in the season and the stat line still looks thin.

That’s where Chinakhov is right now. The process is there.

The chances are there. The shot is there.

The Penguins just need the puck to start going in, and he needs to keep trusting what he’s doing.

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