Randy Arozarena’s next contract could land in the neighborhood of four years and $90 million, according to ESPN’s Kiley McDaniel, as the Mariners outfielder heads into free agency after another 20-20 season.
Arozarena, who turns 32 next year, just finished a year with Seattle in which he hit 26 home runs and stole 26 bases. That put him in rare company: only five players in Major League history have strung together six straight 20-20 seasons, and Arozarena is one of them. The others are Barry Bonds, Bobby Bonds, Bobby Abreu and Willie Mays.
Seattle already made its move by extending Arozarena the $23.15 million qualifying offer on Monday, though he is expected to turn it down.
McDaniel pointed to both the track record and the ceiling when laying out the projection. “Arozarena burst onto the national stage in the 2020 playoffs, hitting 10 homers in 20 postseason games for the Rays, fewer than 100 games into his big league career at that point.
“He has put up 20.0 WAR over six seasons since that iconic run, and his 5.5 WAR season in 2026 was a career year across the board. He well outpaced his xwOBA and career norms, but he has also had six straight seasons of at least 20 homers and 20 steals, so he has always been an offensive threat,” McDaniel wrote.
If Arozarena is looking to maximize his offensive production, a move away from T-Mobile Park could help. McDaniel noted that a more hitter-friendly setting might suit him better, and he mentioned the Toronto Blue Jays and Philadelphia Phillies as teams that could make sense for a corner outfielder with his power. Expectation around the league is that Arozarena will decline Seattle’s qualifying offer in the coming days.
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