The Phillies are close enough to the finish line to taste it, but there’s still one more box to check before they can officially lock in a playoff spot. And with four games left, the path to the No. 1 National League Wild Card seed is still alive.
That matters because the top Wild Card spot would keep Philadelphia at Citizens Bank Park for the opening three-game series against the No. 5 seed. Home games, a packed house, and no travel to start October would give the Phillies exactly the kind of setup they want.
A schedule wrinkle elsewhere in the league may have made that outcome a little more likely.
Because of a nor’easter expected to roll through the East Coast this weekend, MLB has compressed the three-game Cubs-Red Sox series into two days. The teams will now play a split doubleheader on Friday, a move that creates a mess for Chicago’s pitching plan.
Normally, a rain delay or postponement is manageable. A starter gets pushed back a day, and everybody keeps moving. But when games get moved up two days, the rotation gets thrown into a much tougher spot.
"They never move games up and especially within a five-day window of a starting rotation," Cubs manager Craig Counsell said Wednesday, via Jesse Rogers of ESPN. "So we can't have somebody ready to pitch on Saturday.
They just moved games up on us. I understand there's extenuating circumstances, but you just don't see that happening."
Chicago’s projected starters for Friday are Drew Peterson and Clay Holmes, with Matthew Boyd currently lined up for Saturday. There’s also the possibility that Shota Imanaga could start Saturday on short rest, according to Rogers.
But even that may be a moving target, because the weather in Boston is expected to turn ugly. Counsell made it clear the Cubs are preparing for every possibility.
"What I know is happening is we're going to play three games," Counsell said. "So if weather is an issue, then yeah, we're going to have to figure out a place to play a third game."
That opens the door to all kinds of logistical headaches. The league has discussed moving games to another venue, and neither team wants to wind up playing on Monday with the Wild Card round set to begin Tuesday. The Red Sox are almost certainly headed to the Bronx to open their series against the New York Yankees that day.
There are still plenty of scenarios in play, including one where Game 1 gets played Friday before the rest of the series is shuffled around. For now, the schedule remains unsettled.
And that’s where the Phillies can benefit. Philadelphia already held an edge in starting pitching if it were matched up with Chicago, and this latest disruption only strengthens that advantage. The Cubs could be stuck juggling arms, travel, and weather right before the NLWC begins, while the Phillies would be sitting in a much cleaner spot if they end up with the No. 1 seed.
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