Alec Bohm’s latest surge is starting to look less like a fluke and more like the version of him the Phillies have expected all along.
Over his last 30 games, the Philadelphia infielder has hit .340/.412/.519 with a .931 OPS, two home runs and 20 RBI. Since the Phillies shifted him from third base to first base after landing Luis Arraez at the trade deadline, Bohm has taken off.
The 30-year-old, playing in a contract year, hit .327 in August and is batting .297 with a .907 OPS in September. That stretch has lifted his season line to .248/.309/.390 with a .699 OPS, along with 15 homers and 82 RBI.
The rebound makes more sense when you dig beneath the surface. Bohm’s expected batting average sits at .262, and his expected slugging percentage is .411.
Those numbers are much closer to the profile he showed last season, when he posted a .275 expected batting average and a .413 expected slugging percentage. In 2025, Bohm slashed .287/.331/.409 with a .740 OPS and 11 homers.
For his career, he’s at .274/.325/.411 with a .736 OPS.
The quality of contact has been there, too. Bohm ranks in the 67th percentile in hard-hit rate at 43.9 percent and the 77th percentile in exit velocity at 90.6 mph.
Last season, he was in the 66th percentile in both categories. So even when the season line didn’t look right early on, the underlying numbers kept pointing back to his usual level.
That matters now because Bohm’s hot streak could shape his free-agency picture. If he keeps producing and carries this form into October, his value will rise before he hits the market. Still, the cleanest path might be a one-year qualifying offer.
The Phillies should be prepared to offer Bohm the projected $23.1 million qualifying offer for 2027. That would also give them cover if Arraez departs, since he is expected to command a multi-year deal after a bounce-back 2026 season.
Bohm will be 31 next August, which makes a one-year prove-it deal a logical option. It would give him another season to rebuild his stock before free agency in the 2027-2028 offseason. And if this late-season run is any indication, he’s making a strong case that the rough opening months were the outlier, not the rule.
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Phillies Are Already Second Guessing One Bullpen Deadline Decision
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Relief markets are always part performance, part timing, and the Phillies are already facing the sort of hindsight that comes with every bullpen deal. Erik Miller, Luke Weaver and Tyler Wells all drew attention as alternatives because they were available and pitching well this season, which only sharpens the questions around Philadelphias choice. The season is still unfolding, but the early returns have made this one deadline call look far less certain than it did on paper. [Read more 🡒]