The Eagles are sitting at 2-1, but the thing hanging over Week 4 isn’t their record. It’s the blank spot on the stat sheet: zero turnovers forced through three games.
That’s the kind of number that jumps out fast, especially when the defense and special teams haven’t been able to flip a game with an interception or a fumble recovery. Quinyon Mitchell, Cooper DeJean, Zack Baun and the defensive line have all come up empty in that department so far, and the chances have been limited.
ESPN Research put the historical weight behind it: "In NFL history, no team without a takeaway in the first four weeks has had a winning record," ESPN Research shared.
That puts a lot of pressure on Sunday’s matchup with the Los Angeles Rams. If the Eagles don’t finally create a takeaway, history says the result won’t go their way.
And this isn’t a clean setup for Philadelphia. DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert and Baun are all out, while the Rams are getting Puka Nacua back. That combination makes this look like a steep climb for the Eagles, especially against Matthew Stafford and a Rams offense that can punish mistakes.
There is at least one reason Philadelphia can still feel like it has a shot: Nick Sirianni has gone undefeated against Sean McVay in their time as head coaches. But even with that edge, this feels like a tougher test than most.
For the Eagles, the formula is simple. They need a turnover - a Stafford interception, a Kyren Williams fumble, or a special teams break their way. Without one, the numbers say they’re in trouble.
They can still make history by becoming the first team to start 3-1 or better without forcing a turnover, but that would be a major outlier. Based on what NFL history says, Week 4 looks like the week they have to finally create one.
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