The Eagles are heading back to the playoffs-and they’re doing it in style. With a division-clinching win over the Commanders on Saturday, Philadelphia locked up the NFC East and punched their ticket to the postseason.
But while the playoff berth is secured, the story is far from over. The seeding race in the NFC is still wide open, and the Eagles are right in the thick of it.
Where Things Stand Now
As of now, the Eagles sit in the No. 3 spot in the NFC playoff picture with a 10-5 record. If the postseason kicked off today, they’d be hosting the 49ers-currently the 6-seed-in what would be a heavyweight wild-card matchup.
But this isn’t set in stone. There’s still plenty of movement possible over the final two weeks of the regular season.
Here’s the current NFC playoff landscape:
- 1. Seahawks (12-3) - Clinched playoff berth
- 2. Bears (11-4) - Clinched playoff berth
- 3. Eagles (10-5) - Clinched division
- 4. Panthers (8-7) - 42% playoff probability
- 5. Rams (11-4) - Clinched playoff berth
- 6. 49ers (10-4) - Clinched playoff berth
- **7.
Packers (9-5-1)** - 92% playoff probability
The Eagles are still mathematically alive for any of the top four seeds, though their path to the No. 1 seed is hanging by a thread. If the 49ers beat the Colts on Monday Night Football, that door officially slams shut.
Breaking Down the Scenarios
According to projections from The Athletic’s model, here’s how the Eagles’ seeding probabilities shake out heading into Week 17:
- 1-seed: <1%
- 2-seed: 13%
- 3-seed: 86%
- 4-seed: <1%
Realistically, the 3-seed is where they’re most likely to land-but there’s still a path to the 2-seed if a few things break their way.
If the Eagles beat the Bills in Week 17, their chances at the 2-seed jump to 26%. Win both remaining games (at Buffalo, vs.
Washington), and that number climbs to 34%. But even if they take care of business, they’ll need help from the Bears, who would have to lose out (at San Francisco, vs.
Detroit) for Philly to slide into that second spot.
Sirianni’s Balancing Act
With the division locked up and a playoff spot secure, the natural question becomes: Will Nick Sirianni rest his starters? The Eagles’ head coach isn’t tipping his hand just yet.
“We’ll see. We’ll see what we do as we move forward,” Sirianni said after Saturday’s win.
“We’ll look at everything. We’ll do what’s best for the football team as we continue on.
I think it’s important that we go continue to improve on this performance.”
Translation: Don’t expect the Eagles to take their foot off the gas just yet. With seeding still very much in play, especially the 2-seed and a potential second home playoff game, the smart money is on Philly playing to win-at least through Week 17. Week 18 could be a different story, depending on how the chips fall.
Super Bowl Outlook
The Eagles aren’t just playoff-bound-they’re still very much in the mix to make a deep run. According to FanDuel, they now hold the third-shortest odds to win Super Bowl LX:
- Rams: +440
- Seahawks: +600
- Eagles: +850
- Broncos: +900
- Bills: +900
- Patriots: +950
- Packers: +1300
- Texans: +1300
- Jaguars: +1400
- 49ers: +1700
- Bears: +1800
- Chargers: +2200
- Steelers: +4000
- Buccaneers: +4500
That’s a strong position for a team still ironing out some wrinkles. With Jalen Hurts under center, a defense that’s shown flashes of dominance, and a coaching staff that knows how to navigate the postseason, the Eagles are built for January football. The only question now is how favorable their path will be.
What’s Next
It’s all about finishing strong. The Eagles head to Buffalo in Week 17 for a high-stakes matchup that could swing the seeding conversation.
Then they close the regular season at home against Washington. Two wins would give them an 12-5 record and a chance-however slim-at the 2-seed.
So while the Eagles have already checked one big box by clinching the division, there’s still plenty on the line. And if they can build momentum heading into January, they’ll be a team nobody wants to see in the playoffs.