The San Francisco 49ers’ Week 1 demolition of the Los Angeles Rams in Melbourne did more than open the season with a loud statement. It also sharpened the conversation around where the Philadelphia Eagles fit in the NFC pecking order.
On paper, the Rams and 49ers both sit in the same conversation with the Eagles as Super Bowl-level teams. But if you’re measuring which opponent poses the bigger problem for Philadelphia, the answer leans toward San Francisco.
That doesn’t mean the Rams suddenly disappeared from the picture. They were coming in with a loaded roster, including Trent McDuffie, Myles Garrett, and Jaylen Watson on defense, plus Matthew Stafford and a deep offensive supporting cast.
A rough showing in September doesn’t erase the fact that this is a team built to be playing its best in December and January. They’re still expected to reach the playoffs.
Even so, the Eagles have had a clear edge over Los Angeles under Nick Sirianni. Philadelphia is 4-0 against Sean McVay, and Stafford has never beaten the Eagles since becoming the Rams’ quarterback.
That list includes an NFC Divisional Playoff win in the Eagles’ Super Bowl championship season of 2024. The Rams came close in the two most recent meetings, but Jalen Carter’s sack preserved one Eagles win in the playoffs, and Jordan Davis blocked a field goal to save another last year.
So yes, the Rams may look stronger than the Eagles on paper. But the head-to-head history says something different, and it’s not a one-off.
The 49ers, though, are a different kind of problem.
Philadelphia’s most recent meaningful game was the NFC Wild Card loss to San Francisco, and Sirianni has had his own struggles against Kyle Shanahan over the years. The Eagles have beaten the 49ers in the NFC Championship Game, but that is their only win against San Francisco under Sirianni. Overall, Philadelphia is 1-3 against the 49ers in his era, and San Francisco has won every matchup at Lincoln Financial Field in that span.
The Eagles did beat the 49ers in the playoffs once, but that game came with a major asterisk: Hassan Reddick knocked Brock Purdy out in the first half, and San Francisco was left without a quarterback.
What made the 49ers’ win over the Rams in Australia stand out was not just the margin, but the context. Kyle Shanahan and Sean McVay had split their last eight meetings 4-4, and San Francisco has reached the Super Bowl three times in the McVay era, compared with two for the Rams.
For now, that puts the 49ers slightly ahead of the Rams as the bigger threat to Philadelphia’s Super Bowl path.
A ranking of the NFC’s top teams heading into the Eagles’ season would look like this:
- Seahawks - The Eagles have not beaten Seattle since 2008, and they have never faced Mike Macdonald. Seattle is the defending Super Bowl champion.
- 49ers - The Eagles have trouble with Shanahan’s offense, Sirianni is 1-3 all-time against Shanahan, and the loss in last year’s wild card round is part of that track record. Philadelphia also runs a variation of the Shanahan offense now.
- Rams - More talent than the Eagles, but they still have to prove they can beat them. Sirianni is 4-0 against McVay.
- Eagles - The gap from one through four is small, and Philadelphia’s elite defense matters.
An elite defense can shut down the Rams’ offense, and an elite tackle can contain Myles Garrett. The Eagles have both.
The Rams still have more talent on paper, but Week 4 will be another checkpoint.
- Bears - Chicago beat the Eagles badly at home last season, running for 281 yards in a physical game that Philadelphia never really controlled.
The Bears were one of last season’s surprises, but they’ll need to show it again with Ben Johnson and Caleb Williams. The Eagles get the rematch in Week 3.
The early read is simple enough: the Rams are still dangerous, but the 49ers look like the more immediate obstacle in the Eagles’ way.
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