The Celtics still have enough respect around the league to sit near the top of the East in the eyes of the oddsmakers, but the conversation around Boston feels a lot more complicated than a simple No. 3 ranking.
Across NBA Futures boards at different sportsbooks and related sites, Boston is slotted third among Eastern Conference teams, trailing only the defending champion Knicks and the Sixers, who earned that unofficial “offseason champion” label after the stunning Jaylen Brown trade with the Celtics. Boston got Paul George and draft picks back in that deal, and, as the source material notes, “some guy named LeBron signed with the Sixers as well.”
That ranking does not come without some real pushback. The Celtics are being measured against a conference that suddenly looks crowded with credible threats.
The Pistons finished with the best record in the East last season. The Cavaliers got to the conference finals and kept their core together.
Miami and Toronto added star forwards. The Pacers are just one season removed from the NBA Finals and will have Tyrese Haliburton back in the lineup this season.
Boston’s case starts and ends with Jayson Tatum, whose health is the whole ballgame here. He bounced back quickly from the Achilles tendon rupture he suffered in the 2025 postseason and played in 16 regular-season games last season. With Brown gone, the Celtics are asking Tatum to shoulder a huge offensive burden every night.
Paul George is part of the picture now, but he comes with his own limitations. He’s 36, well beyond his peak after making nine All-Star teams, and the source points out that he has played more than 56 games only once in the last seven seasons. That’s not exactly the kind of ironclad availability you build a season around.
There is still useful depth in the backcourt with Derrick White and Payton Pritchard forming a steady, if not flashy, tandem. Baylor Scheierman, the 2024 first-round pick, is also expected to take on more this year.
The clearest upgrade Boston made comes on the defensive end, where free-agent pickup Mitchell Robinson strengthens the back line. He’ll split center minutes with Neemias Queta.
And if anyone wants to dismiss the Celtics because of the roster churn, last season is the reminder not to get too comfortable doing that. Plenty of people thought Boston would slide after the cost-cutting moves needed to get below the second tax apron.
Instead, they finished with the second-best record in the conference. The collapse came later, in the playoffs, when they blew a 3-1 series lead to the Sixers.
So the bigger picture is pretty clear: Boston has enough talent to stay in the mix, but the East is deeper, and the Celtics have more questions than they did a year ago. The oddsmakers say third. The rest of the conference is making that argument a lot harder to defend.
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