The Ottawa Senators could be headed for a clean break with Arthur Kaliyev, and the signs are pointing toward a split sooner rather than later.
On Monday’s edition of the 32 Thoughts Podcast, Elliotte Friedman said the RFA forward will be looking to leave Ottawa. Friedman did not spell out the exact reason, but the fit is easy to read from the outside. After moving Brady Tkachuk, the Senators added William Eklund and Andre Burakovsky, and that leaves Kaliyev staring at a crowded path to ice time.
Kaliyev is now trying to turn his 40-goal season in the AHL into a solid NHL contract. That may be a lot easier to dream up than to actually land, though, because Ottawa still controls his rights. If he wants out, the Senators would need to trade those rights before he can move on.
That kind of deal could come together in the next few days with the July 1 window approaching. It is not a hard deadline, but the timing makes it feel like Ottawa would prefer to settle this quickly and move forward.
The former second-round pick in the 2019 NHL Draft should draw some interest. Kaliyev has put his checkered history behind him, and the question now is which teams would be willing to give him another NHL shot.
There is also the possibility of an offer sheet, though that would come with some real calculation. If Kaliyev is looking for a multi-year deal, a club could decide to take a swing in the $4 million to $5 million range. At that level, Ottawa would be staring at a first- and third-round pick in compensation if the offer climbs above $4.77 million.
If the number comes in below that threshold, the Senators would get a second-round pick instead. Whether Kaliyev is worth that kind of price is another question entirely. Teams looking for scoring may be tempted, but it still feels like a move that would require conviction.
For Ottawa, the simplest outcome might be to take the compensation and move on. However it plays out, the Senators appear ready to part ways with a once-promising prospect.
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