The Orlando Magic open their 82-game season against the Atlanta Hawks on Oct. 21, and that first night already carries the feel of a tiebreaker waiting to happen.
These teams spent last season pushing and shoving through a regular-season series that got heated in a hurry. Atlanta took all four meetings, and those results wound up mattering in the standings: the Hawks finished with 46 wins, the Magic with 45.
That left Atlanta in the No. 6 seed and Orlando at No. 8.
That backdrop has only sharpened the debate around what comes next.
Around the Orlando Magic On SI staff, the predictions split pretty tightly on whether Orlando can finish ahead of Atlanta this season. Amir Motameni sees the Hawks as the slight favorite, pointing to a roster built around size, length and athleticism, plus what he called one of the league’s best defenses. He also noted that the East is tougher this year and said the race could swing if Orlando stays healthy, though he still expects Atlanta to land “a spot or two ahead of Orlando.”
Tony Mejia also sided with Atlanta, even while acknowledging the injury luck could tilt in Orlando’s favor. He highlighted the continued growth of Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Dyson Daniels as reasons the Hawks should be better, and said the Magic may need time to adjust with Sean Sweeney taking over.
Not everyone leaned that way. Major Passons had Orlando just ahead, saying the two teams should end up close again but that the star power of Franz and Paolo gives the Magic the edge in his view.
Jeremy Brener framed it as one of the closest races in the conference, even if last season’s series didn’t show that on the court. He pointed to roster changes on both sides, with Orlando expected to be healthier and Atlanta adding Lu Dort and rookie guard Kingston Flemings.
For Brener, the key question is how quickly the Magic respond to Sweeney. If he can get them to the level of success he had with the San Antonio Spurs last season, when they ranked third in defensive rating, Brener believes Orlando should finish above Atlanta.
In Other News...
Magic Core Enters A New Era With Real Pressure To Deliver
The Magics reset has officially begun with Sean Sweeney taking over as head coach after Jamahl Mosleys dismissal, and the move puts the spotlight right where it has been for a while: on the young core. Orlando has been built around Paolo Banchero, Franz Wagner and Jalen Suggs, and now the organization is betting that a new voice and new structure can help that group take the next step after back-to-back first-round playoff exits.
Banchero has already set the tone for what comes next, saying he spent the offseason working to improve his durability, a detail that matters for a team expecting more from its best players. The new staff should give that trio a fresh runway, but the pressure is clear too, because the Magic are no longer just being graded on promise. They are being measured on whether this core can finally turn talent into a deeper postseason run. [Read more 🡒]