National opinion is leaning Oregon State’s way heading into the Beavers’ trip to Colorado State, with oddsmakers and prediction models generally pointing to a road win.
DraftKings Sportsbook lists Oregon State as a 6-point favorite, and several national outlets have lined up with that number or close to it as the week has unfolded. Head coach JaMarcus Shephard is looking for his second road win, and the matchup has already drawn plenty of attention because of the questions surrounding Oregon State.
Dimers.com projected a 35-27 Oregon State win. “After extensive simulations, our model gives Oregon State a win probability of 71%, while Colorado State has a win probability of 29%,” Dimers wrote.
ESPN’s FPI model is also on Oregon State’s side, giving the Beavers a 61.1% chance to beat Colorado State. The Rams, according to ESPN, have a 38.9% chance to win on Saturday.
Picks and Parlays pointed to Oregon State’s passing game as the key edge. “Oregon State's passing advantage is the deciding factor.
The Beavers have demonstrated the ability to generate significant yardage through the air, and Colorado State has not been convincing enough defensively to make me comfortable taking the Rams simply because they're home. Oregon State should find enough explosive plays to create separation, and laying less than a touchdown gives the Beavers a manageable number,” Kim Smith wrote.
Sports Betting Dime had the closest score projection of the group, calling for Oregon State to win 31.5-30.3.
“YouWager wrote, "That projection supports several betting markets. Oregon State moneyline.
Oregon State plus the points. Full-game Over.
First-half Over. Oregon State team total Over.
Colorado State team total Over. Braden Atkinson passing yards Over.
Jesse Legree receiving yards Over. The projected three-point margin demonstrates how competitive we expect this matchup to be," YouWager wrote.
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