With three weeks in the books, Oregon’s remaining schedule is starting to come into focus. The Ducks still have nine regular-season games left, and now that each of those opponents has already logged multiple games, there’s enough evidence to sort out which ones look manageable and which ones are shaping up to be a real grind.
That list starts with the biggest obstacle at the top: a trip to No. 1 Ohio State on Nov. 7.
- at No. 1 Ohio State on Nov. 7
2026 record: 3-0
Previous ranking: First
Explanation: Ohio State remains the clear heavyweight on the schedule, and nothing that’s happened so far has changed that. The Buckeyes are still sitting at No. 1, which is exactly why this one stays in the top spot.
- at No. 14 USC on Sept. 26
2026 record: 4-0
Previous ranking: Second
Last meeting: 2025 - Oregon won 42-27
Series history: USC leads series 38-24-2
Explanation: This one has all the ingredients of a heavyweight game. Oregon is favored by three points even though it has already taken a loss this season, while USC has built its undefeated start against a softer schedule.
The Trojans’ first road trip away from the Coliseum was a messy one, with winless Rutgers putting up 35 points and 460 yards and forcing a full four quarters. At home, though, Lincoln Riley’s teams have traditionally looked much sharper than they do on the road.
USC’s offense is still one of the best in the country, but its defense is going to take plenty of heat before kickoff and likely during the game as well.
- vs. No.
16 Michigan on Nov. 14
2026 record: 3-0
Previous ranking: Third
Last meeting: 2024 - Oregon won 38-17
Series history: Series tied at 3-3
Explanation: Michigan finally put together a more complete offensive showing, rolling past UTEP 52-17. It wasn’t as easy as the final score suggests, though, because UTEP held the lead for most of the first half before Kyle Whittingham’s team turned it into a 45-3 stretch.
Bryce Underwood had his best passing day of the year with two touchdown throws, but the defense did the heavy lifting by limiting the Miners to 150 total yards. Michigan’s floor is higher than most teams left on Oregon’s schedule, but the question is whether the ceiling is high enough to handle a team as talented as the Ducks.
- vs. Northwestern on Oct. 31
2026 record: 2-0
Previous ranking: Eighth
Last meeting: 2025 - Oregon won 34-14
Series history: Series tied at 1-1
Explanation: Northwestern has been one of the more interesting teams to watch because the offseason optimism around it wasn’t empty. The Wildcats brought back a good chunk of a seven-win team from 2025 and added help at quarterback and on the offensive line, with Chip Kelly now running the offense.
They also made a loud statement last weekend, crushing Colorado 41-7 in a game that was never competitive. Northwestern piled up 423 yards and now faces a brutal stretch, with Indiana, Oregon and Ohio State on the road and Penn State and Iowa still coming to town.
By Halloween, this team could look very different, but it has enough pieces to make things tricky.
- vs UCLA on Oct. 10
2026 record: 3-0 (1-0 Big Ten)
Previous ranking: Fifth
Last meeting: 2024 - Oregon won 34-13
Series history: UCLA leads series 40-33
Explanation: UCLA stayed unbeaten, but the Bruins took a small step backward in how they look. Bob Chesney has them operating better than they have in recent years, but a good team shouldn’t be trailing Purdue in the second half.
To UCLA’s credit, it answered with a 28-10 closing run and won by two scores, though Purdue may end up going winless in conference play. The Bruins are 3-0, but all three wins have required late pushes.
At some point, they’ll fall behind too far to claw back. Maybe that happens this weekend at Maryland.
- vs. Nebraska on Oct. 17
- at Illinois on Oct. 24
2026 record: 2-1
Previous ranking: Seventh
Last meeting: 2024 - Oregon won 38-9
Series history: Oregon leads series 3-1
Explanation: Illinois still looks like a pretty ordinary team. The Illini had more trouble than the final score suggested against UAB, lost to Duke, and then handled Southern Illinois in a game that was comfortable but not especially revealing.
Playing in Champaign makes this tougher for Oregon, but there’s not much evidence yet that Illinois is going to land in the top half of the conference. The underlying numbers aren’t especially convincing either.
The next three games should tell us more, especially since Illinois shouldn’t be competitive at Ohio State this weekend and then gets a couple of expected bottom-end Big Ten teams in Purdue and Michigan State.
- vs. No.
17 Washington on Nov. 28
2026 record: 3-0
Previous ranking: Fourth
Last meeting: 2025 - Oregon won 26-14
Series history: Washington leads series 63-50-5
Explanation: Washington is undefeated, but it hasn’t exactly made a statement. The Huskies have spent the early part of the season at home against lighter opposition, and while they did beat Eastern Washington 48-16, that was the third straight home game against a lesser team.
They were more separated in that one than they were against Washington State or Utah State, but this still feels like a team that hasn’t truly separated itself. Washington hosts Minnesota this weekend, and that game should say a lot more about where it stands.
If the Huskies are worthy of the ranking next to their name, they need to show it.
- at Michigan State on Nov. 20
2026 record: 2-1
Previous ranking: Ninth
Last meeting: 2024 - Oregon won 31-10
Series history: Oregon leads series 5-3
Explanation: Michigan State sits at the bottom for now. The Spartans beat a few MAC teams, then ran into Notre Dame on the road and didn’t get embarrassed, but they also didn’t look like a team ready to rise into anything more dangerous.
Notre Dame led 17-10 at halftime and never pushed the margin beyond the final 17 points. Even so, Michigan State still looks like one of the weaker teams in the conference.
The road setting matters, and the game comes after Oregon’s toughest two-game stretch, but until the Spartans beat a Power 4 team, they stay last on the list. They host Nebraska this weekend.
In Other News...
Bo Nix Gives Oregon Fans A Lift As Justin Herbert Sparks Debate
Week 2 brought a mixed bag for former Oregon Ducks around the NFL, but Bo Nix gave Duck fans plenty to smile about. The Denver Broncos quarterback turned in one of the sharper outings among the schools alumni, throwing for 288 yards and a touchdown in a win over the Jacksonville Jaguars while also hooking up with former Ducks receiver Troy Franklin.
Justin Herbert, meanwhile, had a rougher afternoon in a loss to the Las Vegas Raiders, finishing with 192 yards, a touchdown and two interceptions. With Nix trending up and Herbert taking a step back, it was the kind of weekend that naturally invites a fresh round of debate about how Oregons quarterback pipeline is looking at the next level. [Read more 🡒]
Oregons Playoff Path Just Got A Lot More Real
A lopsided win over Portland State did more than pad the scoreboard for Oregon, it gave the Ducks a noticeable bump in the postseason conversation. After the 84-0 rout in Week 3, ESPNs Football Power Index moved Oregons College Football Playoff chances from 12.3% to 20.6%, while the odds of bringing home a national title climbed from 0.6% to 3%.
For a team trying to stay in the thick of the playoff race, that kind of movement matters even in September. The broader picture around the country is shifting too, with recent results reshaping rankings and playoff projections for other contenders, but Oregons arrow is clearly pointing in the right direction for now. [Read more 🡒]
Dan Lanning Can Hit USC Where Lincoln Riley Still Gets Questioned
Saturdays top-20 matchup between Oregon and USC carries the kind of late-September weight that can shape both the Big Ten race and the College Football Playoff picture, especially with two programs trying to prove they belong in that conversation. It also puts the Ducks in the spotlight as one of the conferences most complete teams, with Dan Lannings reputation on the defensive side drawing as much attention as the offense around him.
ESPNs Rece Davis framed the game as another measuring-stick moment for Lincoln Riley, whose USC tenure has come with familiar questions about winning the biggest games. The Trojans have tried to address one of those lingering concerns by bringing in Gary Patterson as defensive coordinator, but Oregon still enters with the steadier identity and the tougher edge that has made Lanning such an intriguing foil in this matchup. [Read more 🡒]
