CFB Expert's Dante Moore Ranking Sparks Bigger Debate

Pate and McShay clash over the methodology and merits of potential versus proven talent in their Big Ten quarterback rankings, igniting a debate on the best way to evaluate rising stars.

Todd McShay didn’t waste time easing into Josh Pate’s preseason Big Ten quarterback rankings. He went straight at the biggest gap on the list: UCLA’s Nico Iamaleava at No. 10 and Michigan’s Bryce Underwood at No. 5.

“With all due respect, Nico at 10 with Bryce at five is bordering on criminal,” McShay wrote. “But to each their own. And FYI, I'm out west, so this isn't some weird 1:42 a.m. post.”

Pate didn’t fire back with the same edge, but he did make his logic clear. McShay was looking at what the quarterbacks have already shown. Pate was betting on what he expects to see in 2026.

“Based on resume thus far, true,” Pate replied. “This is what I expect this year. As we all know, there's no crime in expectation.”

That split explains the whole argument. Pate’s list put Ohio State’s Julian Sayin first, Oregon’s Dante Moore second and USC’s Jayden Maiava third. After that, the rankings get murkier, and the next group - Indiana’s Josh Hoover, Underwood, Penn State’s Rocco Becht and Washington’s Demond Williams - can be arranged a lot of different ways.

The real flashpoint is Iamaleava and Underwood, because the two quarterbacks are being judged on very different timelines. Pate is treating Underwood like a breakout candidate after a freshman year that showed both the promise and the rough edges. McShay, with his scouting background, appears to value the more proven body of work.

Iamaleava’s spot is impossible to separate from what happened after the 2024 season. He helped Tennessee go 10-3 and reach the College Football Playoff, throwing for 2,616 yards and 19 touchdowns. Then came his breakup with the Vols amid reported NIL negotiations.

Iamaleava later said going back home to California was the real reason and called the other accounts “false reports.”

His move to UCLA didn’t produce a clean reset. The Bruins started 0-3, fired coach DeShaun Foster and finished 3-9.

In 11 games, Iamaleava threw for 1,928 yards with 13 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. He also completed 64.4% of his passes, led UCLA with 505 rushing yards and four rushing scores, and was responsible for five touchdowns in a 42-37 upset of No.

7 Penn State.

That game, more than anything, showed why the upside still matters.

UCLA has since turned to Bob Chesney, who was hired away from James Madison this offseason, and Derek Carr has joined the staff as a special advisor. Carr, a former NFL quarterback, also grew up in California, like the 21-year-old quarterback he’ll be helping.

Underwood’s case is built on a different kind of promise. The true freshman started all 13 games for Michigan, threw for 2,428 yards and added 392 rushing yards and six touchdowns. He finished with 11 touchdown passes and nine interceptions, a stat line that makes the growing pains obvious, but simply handling that kind of workload at Michigan meant something.

There’s plenty of overlap between Underwood and Iamaleava. Both have big arms.

Both can hurt defenses with their legs. Both carry more upside than a lot of quarterbacks in the lower half of the Big Ten.

McShay’s issue was that Pate’s ranking seemed too harsh on Iamaleava and too generous to Underwood. Pate’s view was that the ranking is about who is more likely to deliver in 2026, not who has already built the better résumé. Under that lens, Underwood can be the better bet right now while Iamaleava still has the higher ceiling.

That’s where the two sides land: Underwood may be the stronger 2026 pick, but Iamaleava still has the kind of talent that could push him past him anyway, even if UCLA ends up with the lesser team.

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