BYUs Big 12 Push Suddenly Feels Far Less Secure

With ranked teams falling to unranked opponents and the College Football Playoff rankings looming, the volatility of the current college football season is redefining the sport's landscape.

Forty names, games, teams and minutiae making news in college football, where the sport’s most dangerous habit is becoming impossible to ignore: one week you’re riding high, the next you’re staring at a crater.

That’s the reality this season has delivered over and over again. After every big win, there’s been a warning label attached: enjoy it now, because the floor can drop out fast.

Coaches who looked cooked have suddenly found themselves back in the good graces of their fan bases. Others have gone from safe to sweating in a matter of days.

The numbers tell the story. Twenty-two ranked teams have lost to unranked opponents in September and October, and 10 of those defeats have come in the last two weekends alone.

Five happened on Oct. 24.

Five more came on Halloween.

Wisconsin is a perfect example of how quickly the mood can swing. A 4-1 start got Luke Fickell some real support again, but the Badgers then lost 17-7 to UCLA, beat No.

16 USC 24-7 in a result that sent the crowd storming the field and earned Wisconsin its first Top 25 ranking since 2023, and then promptly got blasted by unranked Iowa 30-0. That result also made the last four seasons of Kirk Ferentz vs.

Fickell a 124-16 mismatch in Ferentz’s favor.

Iowa’s own stay in the rankings didn’t last long, because Minnesota knocked the Hawkeyes out. The Gophers have been all over the place themselves.

They were beaten by 25 at home by Mississippi State, then won three straight and sent P.J. Fleck into full celebration mode, including wiping players’ blood on his face and chugging from the Little Brown Jug.

Then Minnesota lost by 28 to Purdue, a team that hadn’t won a Big Ten game since 2023. The Gophers bounced back to upset Iowa before losing in overtime to Indiana, the team that has spent the season living on the edge.

The reigning national champions are a play from 8-0, and also about five plays from 4-4.

Oregon and USC have been tangled up in their own seesaw. Oregon opened with a loss to unranked Oklahoma State on Sept. 12, then looked much more like a preseason top-five team in a win over USC in Los Angeles. Since then, the Ducks have gone win-loss-win-loss, most recently beating Northwestern to keep their hopes alive for a backdoor path into the Big Ten title game.

USC is still in that picture too, even after losses to Wisconsin and Oregon and all the noise around Lincoln Riley’s expensive job security. The Trojans changed the mood again by upsetting No. 2 Ohio State on Saturday, though the win brought out some strange reactions from Riley.

The Big 12 has been just as volatile. BYU stormed the field after beating Notre Dame, only to watch Central Florida do the same to the Cougars the next week. Then Baylor, which fired its coach five days earlier, went to UCF and crushed the Knights at home on Friday.

Cincinnati had its own field-storming moment after beating Texas Tech on Oct. 24, handing the Red Raiders their first loss of the season. A week later, the Bearcats got hammered by Utah, falling behind 42-6 at halftime and losing 49-25.

Scott Satterfield’s brief escape from the hot seat didn’t last long. Texas Tech, meanwhile, responded by beating Arizona, with emergency transfer quarterback Thomas Castellanos stepping in and outplaying trendy Heisman candidate Noah Fifita when the game was on the line.

Cody Campbell didn’t even have to fire anyone.

The SEC and ACC have had their own share of chaos, and some coaches have used it to steady their footing. South Carolina looked finished after a 2-3 start, but then the Gamecocks rolled past ranked Florida on the road, upset ranked Tennessee at home and embarrassed Oklahoma on the road.

That surge has given Shane Beamer real breathing room, and LaNorris Sellers is a big reason why. Sellers, once viewed as a high-end first-round NFL draft pick, struggled through September after struggling most of last year. Over South Carolina’s three-game winning streak, he has accounted for 13 touchdowns and 1,002 yards of total offense, his best stretch of SEC play since 2024.

South Carolina is still outside the playoff race, but it has become the kind of team nobody in the SEC wants to see right now. The Gamecocks should be 7-3 when Georgia comes to Columbia, S.C., and that’s when things could get interesting.

Syracuse has played the spoiler role in the ACC. After starting 0-4 in league play, the Orange rallied to win at North Carolina on Oct. 24 and then knocked off No.

19 SMU to end the Mustangs’ four-game winning streak. Those wins helped clear the way for a Miami-Wake Forest rematch in the ACC championship game.

Fran Brown’s stock has moved just as sharply as everyone else’s. He went from rising star after a 10-3 debut season to under scrutiny after a 3-9 second year and then into serious heat after Syracuse’s 2-4 start this season.

The last two weeks have changed that, and Steve Angeli has been central to it. With the Notre Dame transfer in the lineup the last two seasons, Syracuse is 5-3.

Without him because of injury, the Orange are 1-10. It’s hard to find a player whose presence has meant more to a program’s bottom line, and to his coach’s job security.

Each week, The Dash seeds the 12 teams that would make the College Football Playoff if Selection Sunday were today. This week carries extra weight, with the first CFP selection committee rankings set to come out Tuesday.

Also considered: Texas Tech, Mississippi, Tennessee, Alabama, Missouri, LSU, USC, Iowa, Houston, New Mexico, North Texas, Boise State.

In Other News...

Oregons Win Brought Back Chip Kelly And A New Offensive Concern

Oregons comeback win over Northwestern at Autzen carried a little extra edge because Chip Kelly was back on the sideline, this time as the Wildcats offensive coordinator and not the coach who once helped define the Ducks modern identity. After Oregon pulled out the 34-26 victory, Kelly spent time postgame with Dan Lanning and Dante Moore, a reminder of how much history still hangs around these matchups even when the uniforms have changed.

The bigger concern for Oregon may have been what happened on the field, where running back Jordon Davison left with a leg injury and is expected to have his status updated soon. In a game the Ducks had to climb back into, any injury in the backfield adds another layer of uncertainty as they move deeper into the season, especially with the offense still trying to settle in after a physical opener. [Read more 🡒]

Oregon Just Landed A Surprising New Name In Its OC Search

Florida States decision to fire Mike Norvell after the loss to Clemson has already sent ripples through the coaching carousel, and it comes at a moment when Oregon is trying to steady its own offensive staff. The Ducks recently moved on from offensive coordinator Drew Mehringer, leaving Dan Lanning with a major hire to make as the program continues to chase stability and continuity on that side of the ball.

Norvells name has now surfaced in the discussion around Oregons opening, largely because of his previous working relationship with Lanning. It is still only speculation, but it adds an unexpected wrinkle to a search that figures to draw plenty of attention, especially if Oregon wants an experienced voice with ties to its head coach rather than a more conventional outside candidate. [Read more 🡒]

Arizona Suddenly Has A Real AP Poll Problem

The latest AP Poll is headed for a shakeup after USC, still unranked, stunned No. 2 Ohio State and sent ripples through the top of the rankings. Oregon and Iowa, both of whom had fallen out of the poll, also took care of business in their recent games, putting themselves back in the conversation as voters sort through a weekend that featured wins from Georgia and Texas Tech along with a handful of losses elsewhere.

For Oregon, the timing matters. A strong response after dropping out of the rankings can quickly change the tone around a team in a crowded Big Ten race, and the Ducks now have a realistic path back into the poll when the new rankings are released. With so many results moving in different directions, the bigger question is how far the reshuffle goes and which teams get caught in the middle of it. [Read more 🡒]