November has arrived, and for a cluster of ranked college football teams, that means the margin for error is basically gone. Saturday’s slate is loaded with games that can reshape the playoff picture, and several contenders are staring at a simple reality: win, and stay in the conversation; lose, and start sliding toward the pretender pile.
The biggest pressure point may be in Salt Lake City, where the Holy War carries major Big 12 and playoff weight. Whoever comes out on top takes the inside track to first place in the league, thanks to the head-to-head tiebreaker, and also earns a serious boost from the College Football Playoff selection committee.
BYU is ranked ninth and Utah third, and the Cougars already have one marquee win on the board with Notre Dame. But they also carry the baggage of that surprise loss at unranked UCF a couple weeks ago, which gives Utah a little more room to breathe despite the stakes.
The Utes are undefeated, and BYU has more to lose in this one.
Another heavyweight test lands in Baton Rouge, where Alabama’s ranking tells you everything about how the committee views the Tide. They’re No.
- LSU is No. 14 and sitting outside the bracket entering the weekend, but a win over Alabama would be the kind of resume shot that changes the conversation fast.
Lane Kiffin would get a huge boost if he can pull it off, especially with home field, a solid dual threat quarterback, and a defense that ranks second in college football in total defensive success rate. If LSU can slow down a Crimson Tide offense that can strike vertically, the committee would have to take a hard second look at where Alabama belongs.
Ohio State is in a different kind of scramble. An injury-driven quarterback change and a second loss have pushed the Buckeyes to the outside looking in, and they’re currently the first team out of the playoff bracket.
The task now is figuring out how to move the ball with Luke Fahey under center. Waiting for them is Oregon, a team that missed badly on its preseason expectations and has three losses, but did get a lift from beating ranked Northwestern last weekend.
The Ducks may not be where they hoped to be, but they’re trending with a little more confidence.
Kentucky has quietly turned into one of the more interesting teams in the SEC race. Under first-year coach Will Stein, the Wildcats are sitting in first place in the conference standings and are projected as the No. 6 playoff seed.
But the next stretch is where that momentum gets tested. They head to Tennessee, and the Vols are still a puzzle after smothering Alabama but also failing to stop South Carolina.
Kentucky’s path after that doesn’t offer much relief either, with Florida at home, Missouri on the road, and Louisville waiting at the end. There’s not much room to absorb a misstep.
Georgia also enters the weekend tied for first in the SEC after handling rival Florida last week, but the Bulldogs still have questions to answer. The concern centers on the vertical passing game, which didn’t fully settle things against the Gators even though Georgia defended well and ran the ball effectively.
That issue gets a tougher examination in a road game against Ole Miss. The Rebels will test that same area too, and they have the passing game to do it, with Trinidad Chambliss leading a top 20 national passing offense.
Ole Miss already has two losses, so a third would be a serious blow in a crowded SEC playoff race.
Then there’s Miami, where an injury has changed the feel of the matchup before kickoff. Malachi Toney, the Hurricanes’ uber-productive wide receiver, will not play after suffering an ankle injury in practice while preparing for the game.
That’s a major development for Miami’s aerial attack against a solid Notre Dame pass defense, especially with the home team looking for the kind of data that can help its case with the selection committee. Notre Dame is ranked No. 11, seven spots below the AP poll, a clear sign the committee isn’t sold on the Irish’s schedule so far.
They already have a loss at BYU, and another defeat would be disastrous. A win over the No. 1 team in the country, though, would keep Notre Dame firmly in the top dozen.
In Other News...
Ole Miss Faces Huge Georgia Test With One Big Complication
Saturday night in Oxford already had the feel of a measuring-stick moment, and ESPNs Kirk Herbstreit only sharpened the focus by naming Georgia at Ole Miss as the Week 10 college football game to watch. The matchup brings together a No. 2 Bulldogs team and a No. 10 Rebels squad that has been tough to beat at home, riding a 16-game winning streak inside its own stadium.
The timing, though, comes with a major wrinkle for Ole Miss. The Rebels are set to take the field at 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC without All-America running back Kewan Lacy because of injury, leaving a huge hole in a game that already demanded near-perfect execution. Against a Georgia defense and a playoff-level opponent, how Ole Miss adjusts in the backfield may end up being every bit as important as the atmosphere in the stadium. [Read more 🡒]
College GameDay Just Handed Kentucky Fans A Tennessee Debate
Week 10s College GameDay chatter has already spilled into the kind of conversation SEC fans love to have, with several commentators and the guest picker weighing in on a full slate that includes Ohio State, Minnesota, South Carolina, Texas, Tennessee, Georgia, LSU, Utah and Notre Dame. The picks come with the usual mix of logic and gut feel, from defense and home-field edge to the impact of missing players, giving the segment the familiar feel of a Saturday morning debate rather than anything close to a settled forecast.
For Kentucky fans, though, the Tennessee pick is the one that tends to linger, because any national discussion involving the Vols has a way of circling back to the SEC race and the ripple effects around the league. The predictions are only opinions, of course, but they still add another layer to a weekend already loaded with pressure points, and they leave just enough room for fans to argue over which side of the Tennessee discussion deserves the benefit of the doubt. [Read more 🡒]
Lane Kiffin Has Ole Miss Fans Watching Alabama For One Reason
Alabamas trip to Baton Rouge has Ole Miss fans paying close attention, and not just because the Crimson Tide are sitting No. 5 in the College Football Playoff rankings. The matchup with No. 14 LSU carries the usual weight of a longstanding rivalry, but it also has a direct bearing on the playoff picture, which is enough to make this one matter well beyond the usual SEC weekend.
For Lane Kiffin, the game adds another layer. In his first year at LSU, he is trying to get his first win against Alabama as a head coach, and the Tigers enter with the same record as the Tide. For Ole Miss fans, the interest is obvious: any result in this one could ripple through the conference race and the playoff chase, and Kiffins latest shot at Alabama is part of the reason the whole league will be watching. [Read more 🡒]