Oklahoma’s 2026 schedule doesn’t leave much room for a soft landing, and the SP+ numbers back that up.
The Sooners come in at No. 11 in Bill Connelly’s early rankings, which puts them in the thick of the national picture before the season even kicks off. Oklahoma is also set to run through a schedule loaded with top-25 SP+ teams - eight of them, to be exact - including three opponents sitting in the top 10. That’s the kind of slate that can expose a team fast, but it also gives the Sooners a clear path to prove last year wasn’t a one-off.
There’s reason to think Oklahoma can handle it. The offense brings back a lot of snaps from last season, and the quarterback is healthy again.
On the other side, the defense has elite talent at every level and should bring the same disruptive edge it showed a year ago. Put it together, and the Sooners look like a real contender on paper.
The bigger question is how they stack up against the teams waiting on the schedule.
Georgia is the toughest draw in the bunch, and the Bulldogs sit at No. 1 overall in SP+ with top-five marks in offense and defense and a No. 3 special teams ranking. Texas checks in at No. 2 overall, with strong numbers across the board as well. Ole Miss rounds out the trio of elite tests, coming in at No. 8 overall and landing inside the top 33 in every phase.
That’s the key thing about this schedule: Oklahoma isn’t just facing a bunch of good teams. It’s facing teams that are balanced.
The Sooners themselves rank in the top 33 in offense, defense and special teams SP+, and only Georgia, Texas and Ole Miss share that kind of all-around profile on the schedule. Florida and South Carolina also loom as difficult matchups, with both ranking inside the top 40 in defense and special teams, while South Carolina is just outside that mark on offense at No.
The path is clear enough. If Oklahoma can survive this gauntlet and stack up double-digit wins, it won’t just validate the preseason ranking. It would put the Sooners right back in the conversation as one of the nation’s most dangerous teams.
Here’s how the SEC stacks up in SP+ entering the season:
- Georgia (4) - offense 5, defense 5, special teams 3
- Texas (6) - offense 7, defense 8, special teams 31
- Texas A&M (9) - offense 10, defense 14, special teams 99
- LSU (10) - offense 21, defense 2, special teams 53
- Alabama (11) - offense 32, defense 4, special teams 109
- Oklahoma (12) - offense 27, defense 10, special teams 33
- Tennessee (15) - offense 4, defense 50, special teams 34
- Ole Miss (16) - offense 11, defense 25, special teams 1
- Florida (19) - offense 39, defense 12, special teams 17
- Missouri (20) - offense 24, defense 15, special teams 118
- South Carolina (24) - offense 44, defense 21, special teams 19
- Auburn (26) - offense 55, defense 18, special teams 51
- Vanderbilt (31) - offense 15, defense 56, special teams 7
- Arkansas (47) - offense 13, defense 91, special teams 44
- Mississippi State (52) - offense 41, defense 76, special teams 21
- Kentucky (53) - offense 75, defense 36, special teams 75
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