The Florida Gators looked like a different team just a few weeks ago when they started 4-0. Since then, the slide has come fast. Florida has dropped three of its last four and now sits at 5-3 entering Week 10 against Oklahoma.
The Sooners have had their own week-to-week roller coaster. Over their last five games, Oklahoma has alternated results, and it’s coming off a 42-25 loss to South Carolina.
The biggest thing to watch for Florida is the quarterback situation, but the Gators do have one clear anchor: Jadan Baugh and the ground game. Baugh is averaging 5.3 yards per carry and has already scored 13 touchdowns this season. If Florida can keep moving the chains with him, that changes the whole shape of this matchup.
That matters because Oklahoma’s offense hasn’t given much reason for confidence. The Sooners have one of the worst rushing attacks in the country, and they rank 87th in EPA per pass. That’s a tough combination to carry into a road game against a Florida team that can make you pay if you leave openings.
Oklahoma’s path is pretty clear: lean on the defense and try to smother weaker offenses. But Florida’s offense has enough juice to make that plan uncomfortable.
The Gators rank 23rd in adjusted EPA per play and 35th in offensive success rate. If they can get even modest production through the air, they should be in position to cover as home favorites.
There are plenty of questions in this SEC matchup, but Florida’s run game and Oklahoma’s offensive limitations stand out as the key factors heading into Saturday.
In Other News...
Big 12 Shakeup Could Change What Oklahoma Is Up Against
The Big 12 is heading into a leadership transition at a moment when the leagues direction matters plenty to Oklahoma. Commissioner Brett Yormark said he will step down on Jan. 31, ending a run that helped shape the conference through a stretch of real change and uncertainty. For the Sooners, who have long had to track every shift in the Big 12 landscape, the timing adds another layer of intrigue to a league already in motion.
Yormark said he plans to take a new role outside of college athletics, leaving the conference to sort out its next chapter without one of its most visible voices. For Oklahoma, the bigger question is what kind of Big 12 emerges from here and how that affects the competitive terrain around it. A change at the top does not alter the Sooners immediate business, but it does matter for the long view, especially in a conference where leadership decisions can ripple quickly. [Read more 🡒]
Oklahoma Gets An Early Chance To Calm Growing Concern Around Porter Moser
Porter Moser is already feeling the heat in Norman after Oklahoma opened the season with a loss to East Texas A&M, a stumble that only sharpened the questions around a program trying to find its footing. The Sooners do not have much time to let that linger, with Mississippi Valley State up next and a chance to steady things before the early-season noise gets any louder.
Oklahoma is also hoping for help on the injury front, with Xzayvier Brown a possible return that would give the rotation a needed lift. Mississippi Valley State arrives in Mike Daviss first season at the helm and has a difficult schedule in front of it, but the Delta Devils are also trying to build something after several rough years, which makes this one more than just a tune-up for the Sooners. [Read more 🡒]
David Stones NFL Buzz Leaves One Big Question For Oklahoma Fans
USA TODAY Sports has already started looking ahead to 2027, and one of the more interesting projections for Oklahoma centers on defensive tackle David Stone. The mock draft has the New York Giants taking the five-star recruit with the 17th pick, a nod to the kind of early buzz Stone has built with a pair of notable performances this season against New Mexico and Mississippi State.
For Oklahoma fans, the projection is flattering, but it also comes with a familiar question about how long Stone will be around in Norman if his trajectory keeps rising. The Sooners are 4-4 and trying to steady their season with Florida next on the schedule, so the immediate focus is on getting back on track. Still, when a young defensive lineman is already showing up in future first-round conversations, it is the sort of development that tends to linger in the background. [Read more 🡒]