NFL draft buzz around Arch Manning has shifted fast, and not in the direction Texas fans wanted to hear.
After his rough finish in Saturday’s 27-24 loss to Oklahoma, the conversation around the Longhorns junior quarterback is no longer centered on whether he can go No. 1 overall in the 2027 NFL Draft, scheduled for April 29-May 1 in Washington. The performance against the Sooners gave critics plenty to point to: two interceptions in the fourth quarter, including a pick-six that put Oklahoma ahead 24-17 and another turnover with 0:19 remaining that wiped out Texas’ last chance.
The Longhorns did answer after the pick-six with a touchdown on the next drive, but Manning’s final mistake set up the closing sequence. Sooners kicker Tate Sandell then drilled the game-winning 47-yard field goal.
That outing also fit the broader picture that has kept Manning out of the Heisman race. He’s no longer being talked about as a major awards contender, and the hype that once surrounded him as a future top overall selection has cooled.
ESPN’s Jordan Reid still sees the upside, but not enough consistency to treat Manning like a sure thing.
“Manning has two or three plays per game that explain why some scouts still view him as a potential top-10 pick,” wrote Reid. “But those plays are surrounded by too much inconsistency, which is why I have him graded as a Day 2 prospect right now on my QB hot board.”
The Ringer’s Todd McShay framed the struggles as part of a young quarterback’s development, especially for a 22-year-old with Manning’s tools.
“You can't coach his traits or some of his playmaking under pressure,” he wrote of the 6-foot-4, 222-pounder. “Locking onto targets, holding onto the ball too long and general inconsistency are all coachable issues that often improve with experience. We just happen to be watching his development under a microscope.”
But NFL teams do not wait forever. First-round quarterbacks are usually pushed onto the field early, and recent examples make that clear.
2024 No. 1 pick Caleb Williams started 17 games as a rookie for the Chicago Bears, and 2025 No. 1 pick Cam Ward also started 17 as a rookie for the Tennessee Titans. Even Jaxson Dart, selected No. 25 by the New York Giants, started 12 games in his rookie season.
So while Manning still has seven regular-season games left for Texas, the case for him being pro-ready is shaky right now. The Longhorns are 4-1, but his current 44th-ranked QBR in the country, 65.5, doesn’t scream immediate NFL polish.
Manning, the nephew of Peyton and Eli Manning and the grandson of Archie Manning, could still grow into the kind of quarterback people once projected. For now, though, that future remains ahead of him.
In Other News...
Oklahoma May Have Finally Found Its Answer At Running Back
For much of the first half against Texas, Oklahomas rushing attack was stuck in neutral, managing only one yard on 13 carries and leaving the Sooners searching for any kind of rhythm on the ground. The adjustment came after halftime, when Lloyd Avant started to look like the kind of back the offense had been waiting for, giving the running game a much-needed lift with a series of productive runs that changed the feel of the matchup.
Avant finished with 10 carries for 72 yards and a touchdown, and his second-half surge was enough to put him at the front of the discussion at running back. Brent Venables and offensive coordinator Ben Arbuckle both pointed to persistence and execution as the difference, and after that performance, Avant appears to have taken a meaningful step toward becoming the answer Oklahoma has been looking for in the backfield. [Read more 🡒]
Oklahoma's Bowl Outlook Looks Very Different After Stunning Texas Win
A last-second field goal from Tate Sandell changed the feel around Oklahoma football in an instant, flipping a matchup with the top-ranked Texas Longhorns into one of the seasons most satisfying wins. Beyond the celebration, the result matters because it gives the Sooners a much better footing in the race for a postseason bowl berth, with the kind of momentum that can reshape how the rest of the year is viewed.
It also makes the postseason picture a lot more interesting, since different media outlets are already floating a range of possible bowl destinations for Oklahoma in 2026. The specific matchups can still move around depending on how the next few weeks play out, but this much is clear: after a win that big, the Sooners are no longer looking at bowl season from the same spot they were before the kick sailed through. [Read more 🡒]
Isaiah Sategna's Red River Heroics Changed Everything For Oklahoma
Late in the Red River showdown, Isaiah Sategna III turned a tense finish into the kind of moment Oklahoma can build around. He made two critical catches in the final seconds against Texas, helping set up the game-winning field goal and giving the Sooners a lift when the game was hanging in the balance. Sategna finished with five receptions for 64 yards, tying for the game-high.
Brent Venables and offensive coordinator Ben Arbuckle both praised Sategna during that decisive drive, a sign of how quickly he has become part of Oklahomas most important moments. For a team that needed somebody to make a play when it mattered most, Sategna delivered exactly that, and his late-game work added a new layer to what the Sooners can count on down the stretch. [Read more 🡒]