Brent Venables Still Faces One Oklahoma Reality Fans Can't Ignore

Brent Venables may have guided Oklahoma to the playoffs, but history and high expectations suggest his job security is far from guaranteed.

Brent Venables is not walking into the 2026 season with the kind of heat he faced a year ago, but Oklahoma fans shouldn’t mistake that for real security.

CBS Sports has Venables tagged as “Safe and secure” in its hot seat ratings, giving him a 1.9 out of 5. That’s a long way from where he sat last year, when his number was 4.7 and he was firmly in the “Win or be fired” range after a second losing record in three seasons. At that point, the comparison to the John Blake era in Norman wasn’t hard to see.

Venables answered the pressure the way a coach has to at Oklahoma: by winning. He got the Sooners to 10-2 in the regular season, survived a brutal SEC schedule and leaned back into what he knows best. With the offense sputtering, he took control of the defense, and that unit helped carry Oklahoma into contention.

That’s the part that cooled things off. The part that should keep everyone from getting too comfortable is everything that comes with being the head coach at Oklahoma.

This is still a blue-blood program with championship expectations every year, and the fan base has grown more restless in the 26 years since the last title. The frustration only deepens because Oklahoma has reached the College Football Playoff five times and still hasn’t won a playoff game. Last season’s 17-0 lead over Alabama at home in Norman slipped away, and that kind of miss lingers.

One playoff trip doesn’t buy much permanence in a place like this. The bar is too high for that.

Penn State showed that just last season, when it fired James Franklin after a 3-3 start only months after he had taken the Nittany Lions to the CFP. Franklin’s hot seat number on that same CBS Sports table was 1.33 heading into 2025, which tells you how quickly things can change at a program that expects more.

Venables could be staring at the same kind of turn if Oklahoma stumbles early. The Sooners open with a brutal stretch that sends them away from Norman for games at Michigan, Georgia and Texas. A 2-3 start would put the pressure right back where it was before, especially if it includes a third straight loss in the Red River Rivalry.

Oklahoma athletic director Roger Denny and the rest of the administration would not be expected to move as fast as Penn State did, especially with enough of the schedule left to keep CFP hopes alive. But a fourth loss that knocks the Sooners out of the playoff picture entirely could be enough to force a change.

Venables has bought himself time. He hasn’t bought himself safety.

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The encouraging part for 2026 is that the foundation is there to look different. Oklahoma expects to bring back four of five starters up front and its top three rushers, while a reshaped tight end room could help in the blocking game, giving the Sooners a chance to become more balanced and, in turn, much harder to defend. [Read more 🡒]