Shai's MVP Chase Comes Down To One Tough Thunder Reality

As Shai Gilgeous-Alexander vies for a historic third consecutive MVP award, NBA insiders explore the challenges he faces, from "voting fatigue" to fierce competition.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander may have already done the hard part by stacking back-to-back MVPs, but the next one could be the toughest yet.

With the 2026-27 NBA season creeping into view, Oklahoma City is again expected to sit near the top of the league picture. Even so, ESPN’s Brian Windhorst pointed to a familiar obstacle that could slow down Gilgeous-Alexander’s run at a third straight MVP: history.

“There’s something that happens: you can win 2 MVPs in a row, but, for some reason, the standard for winning the third just gets very, very high,” said Windhorst. “The last guy to win 3 MVPs in a row was Larry Bird.

By the way, most of the contested/hot button MVPs were when guys were trying to win their third. Michael Jordan won in ‘91 & ‘92, and Barkley won in ‘93, which has been debated for years.

LeBron won 2 in a row twice. And the one time in between was Derrick Rose.

I think Rose was amazing that year, but a lot of people think that was a flaw.”

That kind of voter resistance has been around a long time. The league hasn’t seen a three-peat champion since the early 2000s Lakers with Kobe Bryant and Shaquille O’Neal, and Bird remains the last player to win three MVPs in a row, doing it in 1986. Since then, no one - not Michael Jordan, LeBron James, Stephen Curry, or Nikola Jokic - has pulled it off.

Windhorst framed it as “voting fatigue,” the idea that voters get hesitant to keep handing the same trophy to the same player. That makes the third one a different kind of climb, even for a player with Gilgeous-Alexander’s resume. He’s already taken the last two MVP awards, but he’s also coming off a summer in which his team fell short of championship expectations, losing the Conference Finals in seven games to the Spurs.

And yet, the case for Gilgeous-Alexander is still obvious. At 28, the 6’6″ guard is right in his prime, and last season he put up 31.3 points, 4.3 rebounds, 6.6 assists, 1.4 steals, and 0.8 blocks per game while shooting 55.3% from the field. That’s the kind of production that keeps him squarely in the conversation no matter how crowded the field gets.

The field, though, is crowded. Victor Wembanyama, Luka Doncic, Anthony Edwards, and Jalen Brunson all give him serious competition, and Oklahoma City’s place in the standings will matter too. The Thunder will likely need to stay near the top of the West - specifically in the top two - if Gilgeous-Alexander is going to have a real shot with voters.

Even with all of that, the award itself may not be the main thing on his mind. Gilgeous-Alexander is after another championship, not another individual trophy, and that’s the standard he seems most interested in chasing.

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