Chet Holmgren Opens Next Season With Something To Prove

Chet Holmgren's postseason slump against Victor Wembanyama casts doubt on his future All-Star prospects as he prepares to take on the Spurs in a crucial season opener.

Chet Holmgren heads into next season with a little less room for error than he had a year ago.

Oklahoma City is expected to lean more heavily on its star core, and that shift could make life tougher for Holmgren as he tries to work his way back into the All-Star mix in 2027. Last season, the Thunder had two All-Stars again, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander landing his fourth selection and Holmgren earning his first. Jalen Williams missing the first month and a half, plus additional time scattered through the year, opened the door for Holmgren to step into the No. 2 role and collect the kind of individual honors that tend to follow.

He did more than just fill a gap. Holmgren finished with first-team All-Defensive honors and made his first All-NBA team, and his rise as Oklahoma City’s second option carried into the postseason while Williams remained mostly out. Through the first two rounds, Holmgren was rolling, especially around the rim, and looked like the kind of player who could settle in as the second-best piece on a title team.

Then came the Western Conference finals, and Victor Wembanyama changed the tone of everything.

Holmgren’s production fell off sharply in that series, down to 10.7 points and 7.1 rebounds per game. The numbers alone were enough to cool some of the buzz, but the story got louder in Game 7, when he finished with just four points and four rebounds. That outing only fed a narrative that has lingered all offseason and figures to stick around until the games start again, if it fades at all.

That matters because Holmgren is already facing an uphill climb in the race for another All-Star nod. If Williams stays healthy, Holmgren may not get the same runway he had last season, and that puts him in a tougher spot when it comes to stacking up the kind of résumé points that sway voters and fans.

Still, he’ll get an early chance to answer some of that noise. On opening night, the Thunder visit San Antonio to face the Spurs, which means Holmgren will see Wembanyama again right away. A strong performance - or even something much closer to Holmgren’s usual standard - would help chip away at the postseason doubts, especially if Oklahoma City leaves with a win.

For now, he may still be viewed by plenty of NBA fans as a player who has to prove it when the playoffs arrive. But if Holmgren can show more against the Spurs, it could do a lot to improve the way he’s perceived heading into next season.

And even if the All-Star result doesn’t follow, the Thunder would happily take elite defense and All-Star-level production from Holmgren all year long.

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