Ohio States Playoff Margin Just Got Uncomfortably Thin Against Oregon

Ohio State prepares for a pivotal matchup against Oregon to maintain their challenging path toward Big Ten and College Football Playoff success.

Ohio State and Oregon will walk into Saturday with the same blunt reality hanging over them: lose, and the path gets awfully narrow. The Buckeyes host the Ducks at Ohio Stadium at 3:30 p.m., with CBS carrying a game that was supposed to feature two preseason title contenders and now feels more like a survival test.

Ohio State comes in at 6-2 and 4-1 after last Saturday’s 30-18 loss at USC. The Buckeyes were without starting quarterback Julian Sayin and running back Ja’Kobi Jackson, both out because of injuries, and freshman Luke Fahey made his first career start in Sayin’s place.

That defeat sent Ohio State tumbling in the rankings. The Buckeyes fell from No. 2 to No. 10 in the Coaches Poll and No. 11 in the AP Poll. They also opened at No. 12 in the first College Football Playoff rankings released Tuesday night.

Even with the setback, Ohio State still has a clear route to the Big Ten championship game. No.

5 UCLA is sitting alone in first place at 8-0 and 5-0, while the Buckeyes are tied in the loss column with Indiana at 8-1 and 5-1. Ohio State owns the head-to-head tiebreaker after beating the Hoosiers on Oct.

Oregon’s situation is even tighter. The Ducks are 5-3 and 3-2, unranked in both the AP and Coaches Polls, and sitting at No. 23 in the first CFP rankings. Their playoff hopes are hanging by a thread.

Quarterback play has been a major issue for Oregon, too. Starter Dante Moore was knocked out for the season after taking a big hit in an Oct. 10 win at USC.

The Ducks had already dropped a nonconference game at Oklahoma State before that. Former Nebraska quarterback Dylan Raiola, who was once an Ohio State verbal commitment, finished the USC game and has handled most of the last four games.

Oregon has gone 2-2 in that stretch, with results that have bounced all over the map: a 17-15 home loss to UCLA, a 17-14 home win over Nebraska, a 21-10 loss at Illinois and a 34-26 home win over Northwestern last Saturday.

Saturday’s matchup also adds another chapter to a recent series that has already produced plenty of drama. This is the third meeting in three years for Ohio State and Oregon.

They played twice in the 2024 season, Oregon’s first as a Big Ten member. The Ducks edged Ohio State 32-31 at home, and the Buckeyes answered with a 41-21 win over then-No.

1 Oregon in the 2025 Rose Bowl/CFP quarterfinal.

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Oregon Heads Into Ohio State With Key Offensive Questions

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