Ohio State Suddenly Has A CFP Scheduling Problem Fans Will Debate

With the rise of the College Football Playoff, the risk of scheduling tough non-conference games like Ohio State, Oregon, and Oklahoma may now outweigh the rewards.

The idea behind big non-conference showdowns is simple: put two ambitious programs on the same field, let the game breathe, and trust the payoff will be worth the danger. On Saturday, Oklahoma State and Oregon gave college football exactly that kind of night - and may have handed the sport another reason to keep debating whether these matchups are still worth the gamble.

Oklahoma State’s 39-31 win over Oregon had all the theater you’d want from a game that was supposed to matter. It also came with a reminder that the consequences can linger well beyond the final whistle.

The Cowboys were not viewed as a marquee opponent when the game kicked off. They had lost 12 straight and had been crushed 69-3 at Oregon the year before.

But the matchup was never built for the moment the teams found themselves in on Saturday. The home-and-home agreement was made in 2018, when Oklahoma State had spent more than a decade as a major presence under Mike Gundy and Oregon was just beginning a run that has kept it near the top of the sport for most of the time since. Back then, both schools were willing to put their name on the line for the sake of the spectacle.

That calculus may be changing. The College Football Playoff has altered the risk-reward equation, and the early-season loss that used to feel manageable can now hang over a team for months. Oklahoma coach Brent Venables said as much before his team’s 17-10 loss at Michigan.

“I would guess there's less and less teams wanting to do that, playing (tough games in) non-conference … But we're playing," he said. "There's a lot of recruiting (benefit), and certainly it gets our guys ready from a league standpoint and a preparation standpoint.”

Texas has already lived through the downside. The Longhorns were left out of the playoff last year, in part because of their loss at Ohio State to open the season. Steve Sarkisian made his frustration clear at SEC Media Days, arguing that teams should not be punished for taking the challenge.

"I'm torn because I have two thoughts on this," Sarkisian said at SEC Media Days. "One is if we beat Ohio State last year, surely we're in a much better position when it comes to the playoffs, but on the other side of it is, if I don't play Ohio State and I play Jones Junior High, and we're 10-2 and our two losses are to Georgia and Florida, we're a playoff team.

"But like anything in this world, if you want to be really good at something, you've got to take risk."

Now the Buckeyes are the ones under the microscope. Texas beat Ohio State 24-23 on Saturday night, and suddenly Ryan Day’s team has a schedule that could get complicated fast, with Indiana, USC, Oregon and Michigan still ahead. A few slips could turn that opening loss into a much bigger problem.

Venables still sees value in the test itself.

“You talk about adversity and poise under pressure every single day," he said. "Whether it's home or away, chaos on game day is very real. You like the new challenge of what it can do for your team on the season.”

Oregon coach Dan Lanning kept his focus on the road ahead after the loss.

“There's a lot of things that you can look at and evaluate and say, okay, let's go to work,” he said. “Ultimately, on the same note, every single goal is still in front of us, right? We control our destiny.”

That leaves the sport waiting for the next ripple. If Oregon, Oklahoma and Ohio State all take a couple of conference losses, the playoff committee will be deciding more than which teams get in. It will also be signaling whether these high-stakes non-conference games - the kind that come down to the wire - are still a smart bet.

Sarkisian put it plainly when asked at SEC Media Days about Notre Dame in 2028 and 2029.

"Is the juice worth the squeeze or not? That's what we're all tasked with," he said.

"So I don't know yet about Notre Dame. We'll see, because I think the committee has to show us what happens now and what's the value that they're placing on strength of schedule, and are we going to let a 9-3 team in as an at-large?

We'll find out, and I think this year will be a great test to that of what that looks like."

After Saturday, that question sounds even louder.

In Other News...

Ryan Day Faces Ohio State's Biggest Early Problem

A season-opening loss usually gets measured in the broad strokes, but this one left Ohio State with a much sharper lesson. After building a multi-score second-half lead against Texas, the Buckeyes let the game slip away and were left to answer for a finish that never matched the promise of the first three quarters. Ryan Day pointed to defensive issues and red zone struggles as part of the unraveling, a familiar kind of regret for a team with big expectations.

Day did not try to separate himself from the problem, saying the responsibility for the gameplan sits with him and that the Buckeyes have to improve in every phase moving forward. The early concern in Columbus is not just the loss itself, but how it happened, with Ohio State unable to close in the fourth quarter after appearing to have control. For a program built on standards, the margin for error already looks smaller than anyone wanted. [Read more 🡒]

Ohio State Faces Early Questions After Stunning Poll Drop

The early tone of Ohio States season changed fast in Austin, where a big lead slipped away and turned into a damaging loss for the top-ranked Buckeyes. What looked like a statement win against Texas instead became an opening-week reality check, the kind that can reshape how a team is viewed before September really gets going.

The fallout showed up in the latest Coaches Poll, with Texas climbing and Ohio State sliding five spots as other programs around the country also shuffled up and down the rankings. For the Buckeyes, the larger concern is less about the number beside their name and more about how quickly a game can tilt when an opponent finds momentum, which is exactly what Texas did in the fourth quarter behind Arch Manning. [Read more 🡒]

Ohio State Just Sparked A Coaching And Kicking Debate Fans Feared

Ohio State looked in control at halftime against Texas, carrying a 20-3 lead into the break and putting itself in position to open the season with a statement win. Instead, the Buckeyes watched the game slip away as Texas mounted a comeback, leaving the final result to reflect far more than one bad stretch. The conversation afterward turned quickly toward the decisions on the sideline, with defensive strategy under Matt Patricia drawing scrutiny as the margin of error shrank.

Connor Hawkins also became part of the postgame unease after a missed kick left Ohio State without the kind of cushion that can change a game like this. A make there would have helped steady the Buckeyes and forced Texas to chase from even deeper ground, but the miss only added to the sense that Ohio State is entering the season with questions in two areas it can least afford. For a team with bigger goals, the concern now is whether this was just one painful loss or the start of a larger reliability problem. [Read more 🡒]