The first preseason polls are still days away, but the early picture is already coming into focus: Ohio State, Texas, Oregon, Notre Dame and Indiana are all positioned to open near the top of the college football landscape.
That’s the shape of the projection heading into Tuesday’s release of the preseason Coaches Poll, with the AP Top 25 set to follow on Aug. 17. And while surprises always arrive once the games begin, these early rankings still set the tone for how teams are viewed out of the gate.
In this prediction, Ohio State lands at No. 1, with Texas at No. 2 and Oregon right behind at No. 3.
Notre Dame checks in fourth, followed by Indiana, Georgia, Texas A&M, Miami, Texas Tech and Ole Miss to round out the top 10. Alabama sits at No.
11, LSU at No. 12, Oklahoma at No.
13, USC at No. 14 and Michigan at No. 15.
The rest of the projected top 25 goes Tennessee, Penn State, BYU, Utah, Washington, Louisville, Missouri, Iowa, Clemson and Florida.
Ohio State gets the top spot here because of the combination of Ryan Day’s track record and the talent coming back to Columbus. The Buckeyes are expected to be right in the middle of the Big Ten race, along with Oregon and Indiana.
Oregon is in a similar position in the conference picture, but the Ducks bring their own heavy expectations into the season. Dan Lanning has key returners, including quarterback Dante Moore, and the entire defensive line is back. The biggest unknown is the addition of two new coordinators, but the Ducks will have chances to sort that out quickly with road games at USC and Ohio State.
Texas is projected as the SEC leader, and the Longhorns have the kind of roster that could push them all the way to No. 1 in the preseason polls. Arch manning headlines that group, while Georgia, Texas A&M, Ole Miss, Alabama and Oklahoma give the conference plenty of depth behind them. LSU coach Lane Kiffin and the Tigers are also listed as a team worth watching.
USC and Michigan, meanwhile, are projected a bit farther down the board, closer to No. 15 than to the top of the Big Ten race.
The betting market tells a similar story about Oregon’s place among the national contenders. FanDuel Sportsbook lists the Ducks at +750 to win the 2026 national championship, which is third-best in the country behind Ohio State at +550 and Notre Dame at +650. Oregon’s odds to make the College Football Playoff are -320.
FanDuel also has Oregon at -185 to reach the CFP quarterfinals, which is the No. 2 number in the nation behind Notre Dame.
In the Big Ten futures market, Ohio State is the favorite at +180, followed by Oregon at +260, Indiana at +310 and USC at +1,300.
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