Ohio State Faces A Run Game Test It Can't Afford To Fail

Can Ohio State's Jeremiah Smith and the Buckeyes' offense rise to the challenge against Texas' formidable defense?

You can’t talk about Ohio State’s offense without starting with Jeremiah Smith. Against Texas, that’s even more true.

Every snap will feel like a hunt for the Buckeyes’ star receiver. Julian Sayin will be looking for him.

Opposing coaches will be hunting him. At least two defensive backs will be shaded his way on play after play.

Smith can blow by cornerbacks, rise over safeties and even haul in a pass with either hand - or his helmet.

But Saturday’s matchup with No. 4 Texas may hinge on the part of the game Smith can’t control: whether Ohio State can run the ball and close out a lead late.

That’s where Bo Jackson comes in, along with reserves Isaiah West, Legend Bey and Ja’Kobi Jackson. The offensive line matters, too, with four starters back from last season. If the Buckeyes are ahead late, they’ll need all of it working together to keep the ball moving and the clock draining.

That’s a big reason this feels like a different kind of Ohio State team. The Buckeyes return eight starters from an offense that ranked fifth nationally in yards per play a year ago, but they also replace eight starters - including three first-round picks - from a defense that finished second in the country. The shape of the roster points toward more dependence on the offense, which means more long possessions and fewer stops to lean on.

And recent history says the run game has to be part of that equation.

Under Ryan Day, Ohio State has been at its best when it can control games on the ground. The Buckeyes averaged 5.7 yards per carry in 2019, 5.96 in 2020, 5.54 in 2021 and 5.37 in 2022.

Then came the drop: 4.19 in 2023 and 4.99 in 2024. The 2023 team ranked 79th in the country and missed the College Football Playoff.

Last year’s group ranked 51st and fell to a more physical Miami team in the CFP quarterfinal.

The one season in between stands out for a reason. Ohio State paired Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson and won the national championship.

Day knows what that kind of balance means.

“If we’re going to get to where we need to go, we need a high level of play at that running back position,” Day said last month.

The numbers back him up. During Day’s tenure, Ohio State has won seven national championships, including the 2024 title season, and six of those teams ranked 31st or better in yards per carry.

The average rank among those six was 25.7. The lone exception was 2023 Michigan, which finished 53rd while leaning so heavily on Blake Corum that it hurt his efficiency.

So yes, the Buckeyes need to run it better. That’s not just a nice-to-have against Texas. It’s part of the formula.

And Texas is built to test that formula. The Longhorns ranked 12th in yards per carry allowed last season and bring back six starters, including four from the front seven and safety Jelani McDonald, who led the team in tackles.

They’re also loaded on offense. Arch Manning isn’t Sayin, but he directed a Texas attack that averaged 34.8 points per game over its final six games last season.

Steve Sarkisian then added the nation’s third-best transfer portal class. Former five-star receiver Cam Coleman, previously of Auburn, is now catching passes from Manning.

Raleek Brown, a former top-100 recruit from Arizona State, joins former 900-yard rusher Hollywood Smothers from N.C. State in a revamped backfield.

Five of Texas’ top six linemen have at least 800 college snaps.

That puts Ohio State in a tricky spot, especially with defensive coordinator Matt Patricia trying to account for the losses of Arvell Reese, Sonny Styles and Caleb Downs. The Buckeyes may have to answer Texas with offense as much as defense.

So if this turns into a shootout, don’t be surprised. And if Ohio State is sitting on a narrow lead late, trying to burn four minutes off the clock, the key question won’t be about Smith at all.

It’ll be whether the Buckeyes can do the one thing their best player can’t: finish the game on the ground.

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