Michigan's Playoff Path Just Got Much Easier

With a significant expansion to 24 teams, the College Football Playoff looks to increase participation while stirring debate on potential competition imbalances.

The College Football Playoff is headed toward another major shakeup, and this one would go well beyond the jump from four teams to 12. According to ESPN’s Pete Thamel, the playoff is expected to grow again, this time to 24 teams beginning with the 2027 season.

If that happens, the debate that already surrounds the playoff will only get louder. The current 12-team setup has already shown a real gap between the top contenders and everyone else.

Last season, only one of the eight games from the opening round through the quarterfinals was decided by single digits, and that was Texas’ 39-31 double-overtime win over Arizona State. Adding 12 more teams would widen access, but it could also make the early rounds even more lopsided.

The playoff has gone through a long evolution since the formal system launched in 2014. It started with just four spots, and the first selection brought immediate controversy when Ohio State got in over Baylor and TCU.

The arguments never really stopped after that, whether it was other teams getting left out or the undefeated 2023 Florida State squad being the latest flashpoint. Still, the four-team version lasted for 10 full seasons.

Michigan was part of that old format three times, and each trip came with a top-two seed. The Wolverines’ most recent appearance ended with a national title, as they beat Washington for the championship.

The switch to 12 teams in 2024 opened the door for more programs, including schools outside the Power Four. In the first two years of the larger bracket, three Group of Five teams made the field, triple the number that reached it during the entire 10-year run of the four-team playoff.

For Michigan, the move to 24 teams may not change the math the way it would for some other powers, especially those outside one of college football’s two largest conferences. But the Wolverines likely would have had even more chances under a bigger field. From 2014 through 2025, they finished outside the playoff cutoff but inside the top 24 on Selection Day five times.

Add those seasons to the three times Michigan already made the playoff, and the Wolverines would have had eight total playoff appearances since 2014.

In Other News...

Ohio State Gets Pulled Into A High-Stakes Fight Over Eligibility

The eligibility fight surrounding fifth-year athletes in Ohio has now spilled into federal court, with the NCAA suing Gov. Mike DeWine over the executive order that lets state universities challenge the associations ruling. For Ohio State and the rest of the states Division I programs, the issue is more than paperwork. It goes straight to how coaches build rosters, manage scholarship spots and weigh whether a veteran player can give them one more season.

The NCAA argues the order violates the Commerce Clause and the First Amendment by giving Ohio schools an unfair edge and allowing them to sidestep NCAA rules. Ohios Division I programs reportedly support the directive, and coaches have said they will make decisions based on what helps the team most. For a Buckeyes program always balancing immediate ambitions against long-term roster planning, the legal standoff adds another layer of uncertainty to an already delicate eligibility question. [Read more 🡒]

Ohio State Faces Two Pressing Questions In Huge Indiana Test

Jeremiah Smith has become one of the most important pieces in Ohio States offense, and his involvement figures to be a major storyline in Bloomington. The Buckeyes have been looking for ways to keep their passing game balanced and dangerous, and getting Smith the ball is part of that equation as they head into a matchup that carries real weight after last seasons Big Ten title game loss to Indiana.

Julian Sayins protection will matter just as much, because Indiana can make life uncomfortable if Ohio State lets pressure reach the quarterback too often. On the other side of the ball, the Buckeyes also need to close quickly on Indiana quarterback Josh Hoover and create enough disruption to tilt the game their way, with this trip offering both a chance at revenge and a test of whether Ohio State can handle the kind of pressure that usually decides big conference games. [Read more 🡒]

Indiana Has A Chance To Shake Up The Big Ten Race

The Big Ten race is tightening at exactly the moment Ohio State would prefer some breathing room, and Indiana suddenly has a chance to make the leagues path a lot more complicated. The weekend slate comes with plenty of moving parts, from quarterback uncertainty elsewhere in the national picture to Ohio States own offensive line questions, but the Hoosiers are now positioned as one of the teams that could force the conversation to shift in a hurry.

For Buckeyes fans, that makes this a scoreboard-watching weekend as much as anything else. Alongside the predictions for the games themselves, the broadcasts are also expected to stir up talk about a possible 24-team College Football Playoff expansion, adding another layer to a week already loaded with speculation. If Indiana does its part, Ohio State may find the margin for error in the conference race getting thinner than it already is. [Read more 🡒]