This weekend may not be stacked with marquee matchups, but it has a chance to sort out real business in the Big Ten and Big 12. In the Big Ten, eight of the 12 teams with two or fewer conference losses are facing one another, which should start trimming the title picture and lifting a few teams into better position. The Big 12 also gets a pair of games with weight after last weekend’s shake-up.
Ohio State heads into its game with USC in a favorable spot, and the Buckeyes are getting another break: the Trojans will be dealing with a new quarterback making his first college start. USC has not been strong enough to capitalize on the good fortune it has gotten this season, and Ohio State looks set to keep rolling toward a third straight playoff appearance.
Indiana’s trip to Minnesota carries its own odd edge. Outside of a rough outing against Rutgers, every Big Ten game for the Hoosiers has been decided by seven points or fewer, which makes the line feel strange.
The expectation here is that Indiana leans hard on the ground game, running the ball at least 40 times in an effort to take some of the pressure off Hoover. If Minnesota can slow that running attack, the game opens up.
Oregon, meanwhile, is trying to patch things together after firing offensive coordinator Drew Mehringer, but that move does nothing to solve a defense that was pushed around for 225 rushing yards by Illinois on Saturday. Chip Kelly is likely to keep hammering the run in familiar territory until the Ducks force him away from it, and that could take all day.
The Wisconsin-Iowa matchup could be another slog. The Badgers’ win over USC on Saturday featured zero scrimmage plays of 20 yards or more from either team, and this one could land in the same neighborhood.
Still, the Hawkeyes may have a little more burst. Luke Fickell is 0-3 against Kirk Ferentz since arriving at Wisconsin, and those losses have not been close, with a combined margin of 78 points.
In the Big 12, Utah is dealing with a Cincinnati team that can be dangerous as an underdog. Scott Satterfield’s Bearcats played very well against Texas Tech, but they also caught a fair amount of self-inflicted trouble from the Red Raiders. If the Utes keep things clean, they should get the job done.
Texas Tech enters another game on a short fuse after its wake-up call last week, while Kansas State is riding a five-game winning streak. The Wildcats have won their last three games by 21 points or more, and Texas Tech looked shaken after leaving Cincinnati.
Georgia’s trip to Florida is being played in Atlanta for the first time in series history. The rivalry’s history is rooted elsewhere, of course: the game has been held in six locations since 1904, including a disputed contest in Macon, Ga., in 1904.
Athens has hosted five times, Savannah twice, Gainesville twice, Tampa once, and Jacksonville 92 times. The Dash says it prefers the historic Jacksonville setup, but next year’s meeting will be in Tampa before the series returns to Jacksonville.
The Bulldogs are trying to put away whatever led to their home loss to Auburn, especially the errors from quarterback Gunner Stockton. Florida, for its part, is trying to carry forward the level it showed in upsetting Texas in Austin. Georgia is a 11.5-point favorite, and the pick here is Georgia 31, Florida 17.
Florida State and Clemson meet in a game that barely resembles the old attraction it once was. Both teams helped push against the ACC and now find themselves afterthoughts in the league race for the second straight year.
Over the past two seasons, their combined ACC record is 9-15, and Florida State’s 4-16 mark is the worst in the league since expansion to 17 teams. That was enough to get the Seminoles a theoretical relegation from The Dash two weeks ago.
The stakes are modest at best: mostly, this is about two coaches trying to steady the public mood around their programs. Florida State is a 6-point favorite, and the pick is Florida State 27, Clemson 20. That still would not be enough to convince the Big Ten to offer an invitation.
Illinois has managed to keep moving after losing starting quarterback Katin Houser to a broken hand against Michigan State on Oct. 10.
Since then, freshman quarterback Michael Clayton II has helped the Illini stay unbeaten, with wins over the Spartans in overtime and Oregon to move to 4-3. It has not been a sparkling season, but Bret Bielema and his team are hanging on instead of folding.
North Carolina’s loss to Syracuse was another painful swing. The Tar Heels were 4-2 and had just one conference loss when they hosted last-place Syracuse with a chance to improve their standing in the ACC race.
They took a 10-point lead into the fourth quarter, then unraveled on defense, allowing 175 yards and two touchdowns before the game went to overtime. Syracuse got the ball second in overtime, scored, and then went for two and the win.
For Carolina, it was a big step backward after a few baby steps forward in Bill Belichick’s second season.
In Other News...
Ohio State Could Revisit A Familiar Ole Miss Transfer Path
The transfer pipeline from Oxford to Columbus has already worked once for Ohio State, and it could be a path worth watching again if Ole Miss running back Kewan Lacy decides his future is elsewhere. Quinshon Judkins made the jump from Ole Miss to Ohio State in 2023 and quickly became part of the Buckeyes productive backfield rotation, giving the program a clear example of how a proven SEC runner can fit into its system.
Lacys shoulder injury has only added more uncertainty around his next move, with speculation swirling about whether he could eventually enter the transfer portal or even look toward the NFL Draft. For Ohio State, the interest is obvious if he becomes available, but for now it remains just that, a possibility rather than a pursuit, with the Buckeyes and everyone else waiting to see how his situation unfolds. [Read more 🡒]
Ohio State Just Got A New Warning About USC Trip
USCs offense hit an unusual wall against Wisconsin, and that should at least sharpen Ohio States attention ahead of its trip west. In a loss that doubled as the lowest-scoring outing of the Lincoln Riley era, the Trojans were held to seven points and 241 total yards, with Wisconsin making a clear point of attacking the run game first and then getting after quarterback Jayden Maiava.
For Ohio State, the lesson is less about copying Wisconsin and more about seeing a workable blueprint. USC still has the pieces to stress a defense in a hurry, but when the running game gets bogged down and Maiava feels pressure, the whole operation can stall. That gives the Buckeyes a useful warning before they walk into the matchup, because stopping the early rhythm may matter just as much as dealing with the explosive plays everyone expects. [Read more 🡒]
Ohio State Heads To USC With Two Defensive Questions Lingering
Ohio States trip to USC is arriving with a familiar kind of October tension: a big road test, a short turnaround and a growing injury list after the Buckeyes win over Indiana. The latest concern on offense is Julian Sayin, whose injury appears likely to end his season, but the defensive side is carrying its own uncertainty as Ryan Day tries to sort out who will be available in Los Angeles.
Jay Timmons and Kenyatta Jackson are the names that now hang over the matchup, with Day offering only an update that leaves their status up in the air. For a Buckeyes team that is still trying to keep its focus on the next opponent, the timing matters because USC is the kind of game where every available body on defense matters, and Ohio State may not know its full plan until later in the week. [Read more 🡒]