What looked like a contending season for the A’s has turned into a development year, and with eight games left in a strange AL West race - two teams are tied at 77-77 - the focus has shifted hard toward figuring out who belongs in the long-term picture for 2027.
One of the clearest answers so far is Henry Bolte.
Bolte started fast, hit a wall in July with a brutal .164/.243/.224 line and a 27 wRC+, then bounced back in a big way. The full season line keeps getting stronger, and the case for him as a real piece is getting louder by the day.
There are still rough edges. His reads on pop flies can be shaky, and his 28.5% strikeout rate is still too high.
But the bigger story is that his patience is paying off in more ways than one. He’s not just drawing walks - his approach helps him stay on base as a leadoff hitter.
His 8.3% walk rate is helped by a team-leading 14 hit-by-pitches, and that has pushed his OBP to .358, a strong mark for a 23-year-old rookie.
Wednesday brought another important step when Bolte homered off Nick Martinez for his 11th of the season. That also lifted his slugging percentage above .400 for the first time.
The power has always been in there, but it has taken time to show up because he hasn’t been lifting enough balls. That part is starting to change.
His line-drive rate has been another useful signpost. Since his call-up, it had lived well below league average, usually around 12% to 15%. Now it’s up to 16.9% overall, fueled by a 22.8% mark in August and 18.2% so far in September.
Even with the occasional ugly moment on a pop-up, Bolte has also been excellent in center field. His range from left-center to right-center and on balls over his head has shown up in the numbers, too: +4 DRS and +3 OAA. That’s more than enough to justify everyday work.
The larger lesson with Bolte is obvious enough. The A’s have already learned not to get too attached too early to a hot stretch, or too quick to bury someone after a slump. But right now, 110 games into his MLB career, Bolte looks like an essential part of what comes next.
Tommy White, on the other hand, has been the opposite story.
He had a couple of 4-hit games early in his rookie year and even added a home run in a three-hit night in Tampa Bay. Those were the highlights.
The rest has been ugly. His season line sits at .253/.269/.335, which works out to a 58 wRC+, and the approach has been as rough as the numbers suggest.
He’s swinging early and often, and pitchers have been happy to let him get himself out.
There’s at least one thing White has done consistently: produce the same kind of month after month. Since his July call-up, his wRC+ marks have been 62, 56, and 56. His walk rate is 2.3%, his isolated power is .082, and the exit velocity numbers are among the lowest in the league.
The defensive side hasn’t helped. He’s at -3 OAA at third base in 173 innings and -2 OAA at first base in 196 innings.
The source of the problem isn’t some rushed promotion caused by injuries. White is doing what he has done all along, and it’s showing up exactly as expected.
He was drafted just before the Red Sox took Peyton Tolle.
There are a few other names worth sorting through as the A’s look ahead.
Seth Johnson got tagged by José Ramírez on a flat changeup, but he still looks like a possible plus reliever. His career 7.34 ERA is not pretty, yet he has a plus fastball and curve, a changeup that’s still developing, and enough flashes of dominance to keep him in the conversation for 2027.
Alika Williams also deserves a look, even if the bat is limited. He has hit .220/.259/.358 for a 61 wRC+ overall, and the right-handed pitching split is the problem, since he doesn’t recognize spin well.
Against lefties, though, he’s been much better at .304/.347/.489 with a 126 wRC+. The defense is the real selling point.
He’s a slick fielder at shortstop and second base, and he gets out of the box on grounders in a way that brings to mind Mark Ellis. He feels like the version of Nick Allen the A’s were hoping for.
On the other side of the ledger, Chris Roycroft and Carlos Cortes are harder sells.
Roycroft has the arm, but there’s skepticism that his stuff, control, and command will play any better than Joel Kuhnel’s. Kuhnel has flashed for three different teams this season, including the A’s, but he hasn’t really been effective, and Roycroft is being viewed in a similar light: worth a look in a lost season, but not someone to bet on.
Cortes started hot in April, which was fun while it lasted, but he has come back to earth. With Soderstrom, Bolte, and Butler in the outfield mix, Denzel Clarke looking like an ideal fourth outfielder, Devin Taylor pushing up, and Drew Burress not far behind, there may not be room for him in the future. His defense in the outfield has been rough to the point that the numbers almost feel generous: -8 DRS and -8 OAA in 731 innings.
The bat has gone quiet, too. The version of Cortes that worked counts, sprayed line drives to all fields, and could turn on an inside pitch for a 400-foot blast has not shown up in a long time. He hit .106/.160/.170 in June and is batting .207/.258/.314 with a 50 wRC+ since the All-Star break.
He can’t really be hidden as a pinch hitter either. In that role, he’s 2-for-22 with eight strikeouts.
The A’s will be back against the Guardians at 3:10 p.m. PDT, and the bigger debate now is which of these evaluations hold up when the season finally runs out.
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