Notre Dames Purdue Spread Comes With One Complication Fans Cant Ignore

With Notre Dame's defense tight and Purdue's on shaky ground, Vegas bets heavily on the Fighting Irish for a decisive victory.

Notre Dame is rolling into another Big Ten matchup with a 3-0 record, and the betting line says Vegas doesn’t expect Purdue to slow the train down.

The Fighting Irish are 27.5-point favorites for Saturday afternoon’s game against the Boilermakers, according to DraftKings. The total sits at 57.5, which is the highest number attached to a Notre Dame game this season. That spread tells the story pretty clearly: oddsmakers expect Marcus Freeman’s team to win comfortably, and Purdue to put up enough offense to keep the scoreboard moving a little.

That expectation starts with the Boilermakers’ defense, or really, the lack of one. Purdue opened the season by beating FCS-level Indiana State 44-19, then immediately got dragged into shootouts, losing 38-36 to Wake Forest and 52-38 to UCLA last week. If there’s been a theme, it’s that Purdue has had trouble getting stops of any kind.

Notre Dame, on the other hand, has looked nothing like the vulnerable defense Purdue saw a year ago. The Irish haven’t given up more than one touchdown in any game this season, and no opponent has reached 13 points against them. Last season’s meeting was a different story, with Notre Dame’s defense struggling badly early before the Irish outscored Purdue 56-30 in a wild game.

There is one wrinkle that could help explain why the total is set so high. Notre Dame is dealing with some defensive injury uncertainty.

Safety Brauntae Johnson and defensive lineman Jason Onye have both missed a few games and could miss more. Against Michigan State, backup-turned-starter safety Luke Talich left early and appeared to be hurt.

Notre Dame hasn’t said Talich is definitely banged up, but if he can’t go against Purdue, true freshman Joey O’Brien could be the next man up at safety.

Whoever lines up in the Irish secondary will have to deal with Ryan Browne, who has been efficient and productive for Purdue. He’s thrown for more than 1,000 yards with 7 touchdowns and just 1 interception. His top two receivers are Asaad Waseem, who has 20 catches for 321 yards, and Xavier Townsend, who has 19 catches for 267 yards.

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