Yankees Suddenly Face A Risky David Bednar Decision

David Bednar's impressive turnaround on the mound leaves the Yankees weighing the risks and rewards of a potential contract extension as free agency looms.

The Yankees’ bullpen has spent much of the season looking shaky, but the last few weeks have changed the mood around the group. At the center of that shift is David Bednar, who has gone from early-season trouble spot to the arm carrying the late innings.

That turnaround has been dramatic. In his first 21 innings, Bednar posted a 5.14 ERA and made even the outings he survived feel way too tense.

From May 19 through the All-Star break, though, he has thrown 19 straight innings without allowing a run, earned or otherwise. In that stretch, he has given up only seven hits and three walks, while holding opponents to a .111 batting average and a 0.53 WHIP.

One obvious change stands out: the curveball. During those rough first 21 innings, Bednar used the pitch 28.1% of the time. Over his last 19 innings, that number has dropped to 12.4%.

That kind of run naturally brings up a bigger question for the Yankees: should they try to extend him before a lockout? Bednar is 31 and set to hit free agency after the season, so the decision is not simple.

There’s no denying the early-season version of Bednar was hard to trust, but it’s also fair to say the version he’s been lately is not a reasonable standard to expect every time out. The Yankees can’t assume perfection from him going forward.

Still, Bednar gives off the kind of energy teams like in a closer. He’s easy to pull for, he’s usually smiling, and his “ready to roll” approach fits the role. On July 10 against the Washington Nationals, he worked two innings to help secure the series opener, then came back on July 11 to get the save and help set up the sweep.

"I'm always ready to roll." 😤

  • David Bednar on securing second save in back-to-back appearances against the Nationals pic.twitter.com/0XdRkalsgx
  • YES Network (@YESNetwork) July 11, 2026

But the real issue is consistency, and that’s where the Yankees have to be careful. Bednar was excellent with the Pittsburgh Pirates from 2021-2023, but 2024 was rough, with a 5.77 ERA. He also stumbled early in 2025 and was briefly sent to Triple-A before coming back and settling in.

That history makes it tough to brush off what happened early in 2026. The cold streaks are part of the picture, and for a team with World Series aspirations, that matters. The Yankees built their legacy on elite closing, so they know how important that spot is.

Money matters too. A deal like the one the Mets gave Devin Williams - three years and $51 million - is a reminder of how quickly this can get expensive.

Then there’s the CBA cloud and the possibility of a lockout in 2027. If the Yankees pay Bednar now and don’t get much return in 2027, that could sting. Committing major dollars without knowing whether a salary cap is coming doesn’t feel like a clean bet.

At the same time, the free-agent closer market doesn’t offer much. Raisel Iglesias is the top name, but he’ll be 37.

Pete Fairbanks has a 6.75 ERA this year. Emilio Pagan may not opt out after an injury-plagued 2026.

Kenley Jansen could opt out, though he very well may - and should - retire. Bednar is probably the best option available, and it isn’t especially close.

If the Yankees can strike a reasonable deal, extending Bednar makes plenty of sense. If he pushes for top-dollar money, though, they may need to look elsewhere, even if the alternatives are thin.

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