As the 2026 MLB season looms, let's dive into the projected WAR (Wins Above Replacement) to predict the landscape of winners and losers. Using the comprehensive Depth Charts from Fangraphs, which blend the respected ZiPS and Steamer projections with expert playing time allocations, we can glean some fascinating insights.
Starting from a replacement level of 48 wins, as defined by baseball-reference.com, these projections give us a glimpse into the potential hierarchy of teams this season. While the numbers might paint a rosier picture than reality, they offer valuable takeaways.
First up, the Dodgers. No surprise here-they're projected to be the cream of the crop across all of baseball. Their roster depth and talent make them a formidable force on paper.
In the American League, the Yankees are poised to remain a powerhouse, seemingly opting for consistency with their roster. Meanwhile, Baltimore is expected to rebound from a lackluster 2025, hinting at a promising season ahead.
The AL East is shaping up to be a thrilling battleground. With four teams in contention, fans can expect a fierce competition. Similarly, the NL East promises intrigue, with several teams vying for dominance.
Turning our attention to Detroit, the Tigers have crafted a roster ready to contend, potentially marking Tarik Skubal's last hurrah with the team. Their efforts could make them a surprise package this year.
The Braves, too, are on the rebound radar. After a challenging season, they’re looking to reestablish themselves as contenders.
On the flip side, it looks like a tough year ahead for the Rockies and Nationals. Both teams are projected to struggle, making it a challenging season for their fan bases.
As the season unfolds, these projections set the stage for what could be an exhilarating year of baseball. Whether it's the battle for division supremacy or the quest for redemption, there's plenty to keep an eye on. Enjoy the ride!