The Yankees may have crashed out in the postseason again, but Aaron Boone still looks like the safest man in the organization.
That’s the reality around this team: regular-season success buys a lot of protection, and Boone has more than enough of it. As long as the Yankees keep stacking wins over 162 games, the front office is unlikely to make a dramatic move just because October ended badly.
There were chances to make a change before now. The first real opening came after the 2021 season, when the Yankees underachieved and were sent home in a one-game Wild Card.
Another arrived in 2023, when they didn’t even reach the postseason. Neither one led to a change, and that history makes it tough to believe this winter will be different.
Boone just guided a team to 93 wins without Aaron Judge, and that kind of year would put him in the mix for serious Manager of the Year consideration in most places. By those standards, that’s a successful season, even if there were still moments that left people shaking their heads, including some decisions in the ALDS that didn’t show much urgency until the Yankees were backed into a corner.
Fans and some media members may measure the Yankees by a harsher standard, one shaped by years of George Steinbrenner setting a much louder tone. But this is not that version of the franchise. The organization says winning is the only thing that matters, yet its actions keep pointing in a different direction.
Last offseason made that clear. The Yankees watched a rival celebrate on their home field, chose continuity in the winter, and then handled the trade deadline in a way that can only be called passive. The result was familiar: the same kind of ending they’ve been getting for years, just with the Los Angeles Dodgers and Blue Jays swapped out for the small-market Frankenstein that is the Tampa Bay Rays.
The team can always frame the season as an overachievement because Judge was missing. It can lean on an old PECOTA projection that had them ahead of the Rays. But that doesn’t change the larger pattern, and the organization knows it.
So if Boone’s job is announced as safe in the days before the lockout, and the Yankees point to “uncertainty” as a reason not to shake anything up, it would fit right in with how they operate. Maybe they simply don’t want to make another decision they’ll have to revisit later.
Maybe they genuinely believe their process is sound and doesn’t need to change. Either way, it doesn’t sound like a team preparing to fire its manager.
There will always be people who want the Yankees to move on from Boone and hire Alex Cora. But for a club that seems comfortable with steady, predictable outcomes, that kind of bold swing is hard to picture.
Hal Steinbrenner’s Yankees appear content to keep collecting 90-plus wins and hoping the rest takes care of itself. They can do that with Boone.
They could do it with Cora too.
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