Yankees May Have Forced The Dodgers Into A Move They Regret

As the Yankees secure Cody Bellinger with a strategic contract, questions swirl over whether the Dodgers' costly gamble on Kyle Tucker will pay off.

The Yankees may not love every wrinkle in Cody Bellinger’s contract, but compared with what the Dodgers handed Kyle Tucker, New York came out looking a lot smarter.

Bellinger’s deal includes opt-outs that pushed more of the guaranteed money to the front, and it could still leave the Yankees carrying a heavy salary for a player who isn’t in superstar territory as he ages into his mid-30s. Even so, that’s a far more manageable problem than the one Los Angeles created with Tucker’s four-year, $240 million contract.

The Dodgers got a close-up look at Tucker when the Yankees hosted them in the Bronx from July 17-July 19, and the early returns were rough. Tucker went 2-for-13 in the series with two strikeouts and grounded into two double plays. Through July 19, he was hitting .240/.335/.367, good for a 98 wRC+.

However you slice the average annual value, Tucker’s contract sits at or near the top of the list in MLB history. It also includes opt-outs after years two and three, though right now it looks far more likely he stays put and gives Los Angeles a brutal return on that investment.

There had been talk that the Dodgers were interested in bringing Bellinger back, the outfielder who won the 2017 NL Rookie of the Year and 2019 NL MVP with them before his run in Los Angeles ended with a non-tender after the 2022 season. That reunion never happened, and the Yankees wound up landing him instead.

Bellinger did speak with the Dodgers during free agency this past offseason, and his goal was to sign with a team that gave him the best chance to get back to the World Series. On the surface, that might have sounded like Los Angeles. In the end, though, he chose the Bronx.

The simplest explanation is money. Bellinger wanted a shot at a title, but he was not going to take a major discount to get it.

Tucker signed with Los Angeles before Bellinger returned to New York, and the Yankees’ offer to the left fielder was already widely known in broad terms. That gave Bellinger a clear benchmark, and the Dodgers apparently did not top it.

So Los Angeles pivoted to Tucker, a move that now looks increasingly expensive and increasingly shaky. The team has even had national media pieces trying to frame Tucker as a grinder for taking extra batting practice to work out of his slump. But for a player making $60 million a year, that kind of effort is the baseline.

Bellinger isn’t a perfect answer and he’ll have his cold stretches. Still, the contract looks like the better bet, especially once the money is factored in. He understood what the Yankees were offering, and that may have been enough to keep him out of Los Angeles and push the Dodgers into a deal they could end up regretting.

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