Yankees Face One Tough Rotation Decision They May Not Avoid

With a surplus of pitching talent and roster gaps to fill, the Yankees are poised to make strategic trades inspired by recent successful deals in the league.

The Yankees’ pitching surplus has become one of the most useful problems a team can have, and it may be the cleanest path to fixing everything else around the roster.

New York’s rotation depth was elite by every measure. Yankees starters led the majors with a 3.30 ERA, posted a 3.57 FIP that also ranked first, finished third with a 9.43 K/9, and ranked fifth with a 2.80 BB/9. That came with Gerrit Cole still working back from Tommy John surgery to open the season, Max Fried and Carlos Rodón each missing long stretches because of multiple IL stints, and Ryan Weathers sitting out the final five weeks of the regular season.

Even with those interruptions, the group stayed loaded. Cam Schlittler, Max Fried, Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rodón, Will Warren, Ryan Weathers and Elmer Rodriguez give New York a stack of arms that would look comfortable in just about any rotation.

Rodriguez’s first look this year was uneven, but the former top prospect still showed enough that he’d be in the mix for a fifth-starter job on plenty of clubs. Clarke Schmidt and Luis Gil are still hanging around too, though neither can be counted on much because of injury history.

That kind of depth stands in sharp contrast to the rest of the roster, where the Yankees have real work to do if they’re going to reverse their nearly two-decade run of playoff futility. They need help at second base and/or third base, a catcher, at least two bullpen arms, and possibly a center fielder depending on how Spencer Jones handles the defensive side of the position. More outfield depth could also be in play, especially if Aaron Judge sees more time at DH.

That’s a lot of gaps, and the free-agent market doesn’t exactly make third base easy to solve. So the obvious question is whether the Yankees should move a starter to address other needs.

At first glance, that can feel risky. New York already leaned on Rodriguez as its seventh starter six times in 2026, and Fried, Cole and Rodón all got another year older. But the trade market for young, controllable starters has been so aggressive that a deal like this can make more sense than it seems.

Last winter offered plenty of evidence. The Yankees gave up four prospects for Weathers, who had never reached 94 2/3 innings in a season before that point.

The Rangers sent five top-30 prospects to the Nationals for MacKenzie Gore. The Orioles also paid up in a pair of major moves involving Shane Baz and Grayson Rodriguez.

The example that really jumps off the page, though, is the three-team deal that sent Mike Burrows to the Houston Astros and brought Brandon Lowe, Mason Montgomery and Jake Mangum to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Burrows had thrown only 99 1/3 career innings when that trade happened.

Houston essentially supplied the prospect package needed to get Lowe, Montgomery and Mangum out of Tampa Bay, then flipped the trio to Pittsburgh for Burrows. Lowe responded with 35 homers this season and kept adding to an already strong résumé.

Montgomery moved into the closer role and finished the year with a 25-inning scoreless streak. Mangum became a speed-and-defense fourth outfielder.

Lowe was a rental, but Montgomery and Mangum remain under control through 2030.

That’s the kind of return the Yankees should be chasing if they decide to deal from their surplus. Moving one of Warren, Weathers or Rodriguez for a package that patches multiple holes at once would improve the roster in a hurry, even if it thins out the rotation.

And the market could be just as inflated again, because cost-controlled starters are exactly the type of asset teams pay through the nose to acquire. Starting pitching is expensive on the open market, so clubs are willing to surrender real value for a less established arm on a cheap deal.

If New York could land a position player, a reliever and a bench piece for one of its young starters, there are still ways to backfill the innings. The simplest route would be bringing back Ryan Yarbrough. He only made two short starts this season, but in 2025 he showed he could still handle the swingman role, making eight starts overall.

The other option would be to go big. Tarik Skubal would be the dream target, and Michael King would also be a compelling reunion. That would be a bold move, but if the Yankees want to finally break through, it may be the kind of over-the-top swing that fits the moment.

For all the risk that comes with moving a young starter, the logic is hard to ignore. This is about maximizing value, and a No. 6 or No. 7 starter can bring back pieces that matter a lot more than he does alone.

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