The Yankees needed Tim Hill to be steady on Saturday. Instead, the eighth inning turned into the kind of mess New York can’t afford anymore.
Trailing the Blue Jays 2-1, Aaron Boone went to Hill to try to keep the game within reach. That plan fell apart fast.
Hill got only two outs, loaded the bases with no outs after two singles and a hit-by-pitch, and watched Toronto stretch the lead when Charles McAdoo delivered an RBI single and Nathan Lukes followed with an RBI groundout. By the time Yerry De los Santos finally ended the frame, the Yankees were staring at a 4-1 deficit.
They went down in order in the ninth and dropped another series to an AL East opponent.
For a bullpen that once leaned on Hill as a dependable left-handed weapon, the latest outing only sharpened the concern: he’s no longer giving the Yankees the same kind of relief they got in 2024 and 2025.
That’s a tough turn, because Hill was a major find after the Yankees signed him as a free agent in June 2024. He posted a 2.05 ERA across 35 regular-season appearances the rest of that year and gave up just two runs in 10 postseason outings. The club brought him back the next offseason on a one-year, $2.85 million deal with a $3 million club option for 2026, and he rewarded them again by appearing in 70 games and putting up a 3.09 ERA before New York exercised the option.
This season has looked very different. After the Blue Jays tagged him on Saturday, Hill’s ERA climbed to 4.63 in 55 games, and his FIP has jumped to 5.78 from 4.30 in 2025.
August has been especially rough: five runs and two home runs in just six innings. His 2026 fWAR sits at minus-0.8.
The drop-off shows up in the way hitters are approaching him. Last season, batters chased 34.5% of Hill’s pitches outside the strike zone, a rate that ranked in the 96th percentile on Baseball Savant.
This year, that number has fallen to 28.6%, which sits in the 30th percentile. For a pitcher who makes his living by coaxing weak contact rather than piling up strikeouts, that matters.
When hitters stop expanding the zone, Hill has to come back over the plate - and his stuff is getting hit hard, with a 43.7% hard-hit rate.
The Yankees also don’t have much room to patch the problem. They didn’t add a bullpen arm before the August 3 trade deadline, so the relief burden has shifted even more onto Brent Headrick, who has already made 63 appearances. If Headrick fades, New York will have only its own deadline inactivity to blame.
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