Max Fried’s return is about to force the Yankees into some uncomfortable bullpen decisions.
Aaron Boone said Tuesday on the Talkin’ Yanks podcast that Fried will make a rehab start Wednesday and throw 60 pitches. Boone also said the expectation is that the veteran left-hander will rejoin the rotation in Chicago, where the Yankees open a seven-game stay in the Windy City with a four-game series against the Chicago White Sox on July 27.
That’s a welcome development for a rotation that could use the help. Will Warren and Ryan Weathers have both hit a wall, while Cam Schlittler is on pace to log a career-high workload in innings.
Before landing on the injured list in May with a bone bruise in his throwing elbow, Fried was 4-3 with a 3.21 ERA in 10 starts.
His return won’t just change the rotation picture. It should ripple through the bullpen, too.
Of the current starters who could be pushed into relief, Weathers looks like the likeliest candidate. The 26-year-old lefty opened the season looking like a bargain, going 2-3 with a 3.53 ERA over his first 11 starts. He piled up 75 strikeouts in 64 innings, even while allowing 11 home runs and 19 walks.
Lately, though, the results have fallen apart. Over his last eight starts, Weathers is 1-4 with a 5.87 ERA.
He has given up six home runs and 10 walks in that stretch, but the bigger issue has been how often he’s been knocked around. He’s had four outings in which he allowed five earned runs or more, and in three starts this month he hasn’t made it through five innings.
At this point, a move to the bullpen would make sense, especially with his innings already sitting at a career-high 102.1. If Weathers does head to relief, it could squeeze out another left-hander already in the mix.
That would put 36-year-old Hill in a tough spot. Hill started strong in New York, posting a 1.42 ERA and holding opponents to a .146 average in 13 games during March and April.
Since then, the slide has been steady. His ERA over the last three months has climbed:
Hill is sitting at a 4.26 ERA two weeks before the trade deadline, and the Yankees would have a case to designate him for assignment. Even with the early promise, the club may prefer to bet on Weathers’ upside, especially with his changeup, slider and sweeper giving him multiple ways to miss bats.
There’s another bullpen logjam coming, too. Clarke Schmidt is working his way back from UCL surgery, and when he returns, likely in relief, Doval could be the odd man out.
Doval has not delivered in the Bronx this season. He’s 3-1 with a 4.86 ERA in 41 appearances, and opponents have handled him well, batting .261 with a .757 OPS, both career highs.
The deeper numbers aren’t much prettier. His 3.6% home run percentage is the second-worst of his career, his 21.2 strikeout percentage is a career low, and his 50.0 hard-hit rate is a career worst. He simply isn’t missing enough bats, and hitters are making him pay.
If he can’t turn it around soon, the Yankees may be forced into yet another difficult call on a pitcher they picked up at last year’s deadline.
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Max Frieds situation looks even more concrete, and that matters just as much for a Yankees team trying to steady its rotation. The left-hander, out since mid-May with a left elbow bone bruise, is set for a 60-pitch rehab start on July 22, the kind of checkpoint that usually signals the finish line is getting closer. For a club balancing October hopes with the daily grind of the schedule, getting both Stanton and Fried back in the mix could change the feel of the roster in a hurry. [Read more 🡒]