The Rangers spent the offseason trying to answer one blunt question: are they actually a playoff team, or are they just rearranging the same problems?
Chris Drury did not sit still. He was the most active general manager this summer, sending out three first-round picks in a series of moves that brought in Pavel Dorofeyev for 2026 and 2028 first-round picks, Marcus Pettersson for a 2030 first-round pick, and Sean Durzi and prospect Cole Beaudoin for Vincent Trocheck.
Then came Alberts Smits at No. 5 overall, with the expectation that he’ll join the club at some point this season. Taken together, it marked a clear shift from a grit-first identity to one built more around skill.
That matters because the Rangers’ biggest issue last year was offense. Durzi and Pettersson are meant to solve part of that by giving the team puck movement and mobility on the back end, while also forming a real second pair on defense.
Dorofeyev is supposed to attack the hole left by Chris Kreider, and the source material makes clear where he does his damage: most of his xG comes from the front of the net. He has a wicked shot and can score from anywhere, but the net front is his bread and butter.
There’s also the simple matter of health. Adam Fox and Igor Shesterkin are healthy, hopefully, and that alone could swing things in a major way.
The Rangers went 3-15 when both Fox and Shesterkin were out last season, and the idea is that their absences together cost the team at least 10 points in the standings. The source notes that NHL Injury Viz doesn’t really capture the compounding effect of losing both stars at once, even if it accounts for salary.
Logic says the damage is bigger than the numbers show.
But a healthy Fox and Shesterkin doesn’t settle the playoff question. Durzi and Pettersson over Will Borgen and Carson Soucy, or Matthew Robertson, is a meaningful upgrade on the second pair.
Dorofeyev over the mix of Conor Sheary, Taylor Raddysh, and others in the top six is another one. His presence at the net mouth on PP1 could also open the door for JT Miller to slide to PP2 with Durzi, which would give the power play more balance.
The math still gets tricky from there. The Rangers need to make up roughly 22 points in the standings.
If Fox and Shesterkin account for 10 of those, then the question becomes whether Durzi, Pettersson, and Dorofeyev can produce the other 12. If they can’t, the Rangers need more from the rest of the roster - from Gabe Perreault and Alexis Lafreniere, from a legitimate third line that can add offense, and from someone like Oliver Bjorkstrand if he’s in this lineup.
And even with the new arrivals, there are still holes. The Rangers need another top-six body, preferably a center. They also still have a net-negative in Braden Schneider, though the source frames those two issues as connected.
The optimistic read is obvious enough: the Rangers added real pieces, improved their blue line, and patched a scoring need. That’s why the source lands on them as a playoff team, even if that view may not be widely shared.
The case against is built on what the Rangers can’t control and what they still have to prove. The Metro got better too, so jumping from last in the division to third or fourth won’t be easy. The Rangers are also counting on the Lafreniere-Zibanejad-Perreault line to keep rolling after its late-season pace, and they need kids like Adam Sykora, Jaro Chmelar, and Noah Laba to take meaningful steps.
That group is a wild card, though their roles could soften the risk. Sykora and Laba can be sheltered, while Chmelar’s minutes can be limited if needed.
The hope is that the bottom six grows into a strength, but nobody knows that answer until puck drop. Tanner Glass, the source says, can silence a lot of doubters if the trio keeps developing.
The biggest swing factor might be Miller. Zibanejad has found a new lane as a pure shooter with two young wingers who have star potential, but Miller is coming off a rough season in which he underperformed, played hurt, had his leadership questioned, and was rumored to have threatened the organization if he wasn’t on the Olympic team. The source is clear that the rumor has no confirmation, but it has circulated.
That leaves Miller as the Rangers’ most important bet. They invested heavily in him, and whether he wears the captain’s “C” or not, they need him back to the level he showed when they acquired him.
At minimum, that means a capable 2C who can deliver 70-plus points and drive PP2. If he’s on PP1, then the bar rises even higher: he has to be a force again, the kind of player who lives in that 90-100 point range.
In the end, Miller’s aging curve - and to a lesser degree Zibanejad’s - may decide where this season goes.
In Other News...
Rangers Retool Just Put One Massive Future Question Into Focus
The Rangers roster overhaul has already changed the look of the team, with Artemi Panarin moved out and names like Pavel Dorofeyev and Oliver Bjorkstrand brought in to reshape the forward group. Its the sort of retool that signals both urgency and patience, a front office trying to stay competitive now while leaving itself room to chase something bigger down the line.
Former Ranger Mike Rupp added another layer to that conversation by suggesting the club has been keeping an eye on the sports biggest stars and may be thinking well ahead of the next market. The problem for New York is the same one that has shadowed plenty of contender-to-retool transitions: recent free-agent decisions by elite players have narrowed the pool, and the Rangers still have to prove they can sell top talent on being the place to finish a career-defining chase. [Read more 🡒]
Rangers Still Have One Winger Decision That Could Split Fans
The Rangers have already added Pavel Dorofeyev and Oliver Bjorkstrand to help their forward group, but the rest of the winger picture still feels unfinished. Daily Faceoffs projection has Dorofeyev, Bjorkstrand, Gabe Perreault and Alexis Lafreniere occupying the top six spots next season, which leaves New York with a familiar question: is the current depth good enough, or does one more established winger still need to be brought in?
For a team trying to sort through a limited set of upgrades, the free-agent market offers a few names that could change the conversation. Vladimir Tarasenko, Eeli Tolvanen and Patrik Laine all come with appeal and obvious concern, which is why the debate around this spot could easily split fans between patience and urgency. The Rangers have options, but the choice of whether to stand pat or chase another scorer may end up being one of the more interesting roster calls left on the board. [Read more 🡒]